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Sun Jul 28 7:45 pm

IRL Week 14 of 17 - Regular Season

Felix Rosenqvist What If?

The Felix Rosenqvist What If table presents probabilities of different IRL Driver Championship finishes depended upon how Felix Rosenqvist completes future races. These races include either the next race or all 4 remaining races. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results.

Felix Rosenqvist What If?

Next Race - ABC Supply 500 at Pocono Raceway

  Resultant
Points
Finishing Spot
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10+
Win Next Race
(1st Place)
350 <1% <1% <1% <1% 10% 19% 24% 24% 16% 7%
Current Standings 296 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 11% 17% 22% 41%
21st Place 305 X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 11% 19% 60%


Remaining Races

Finish for
the 4
Remaining
Races
Resultant
Points
Finishing Spot
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10+
1 512 <1% <1% 3% 31% 67% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
2 460 X X <1% <1% 74% 25% 1% <1% ^ ^
3 440 X X X <1% 30% 53% 16% 1% <1% <1%
4 428 X X X X 10% 45% 37% 8% <1% <1%
5 420 X X X X 3% 30% 46% 19% 2% <1%
6 412 X X X X 1% 14% 43% 35% 8% <1%
7 404 X X X X <1% 4% 28% 45% 21% 2%
8 396 X X X X <1% 1% 12% 40% 38% 10%
9 384 X X X X <1% <1% 1% 16% 46% 37%
10 376 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 4% 31% 65%
11 372 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 20% 78%
12 368 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 87%
13 364 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 6% 93%
14 360 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 97%
15 356 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
20 336 X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
21 332 X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot