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IRL Week 2 of 17 - Regular Season

Milka Duno What If?

The Milka Duno What If table presents probabilities of different IRL Driver Championship finishes depended upon how Milka Duno completes future races. These races include either the next race or all 16 remaining races. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results.


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Milka Duno What If?

Next Race - Honda Grand Prix of St. Petersburg at Streets of St. Petersburg

  Resultant
Points		 Finishing Spot
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10+
Win Next Race
(1st Place)		 65 9% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 45%
Current Standings 12 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 70%
Lose Next Race
(24th Place)		 24 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 78%


Remaining Races

Finish for
the 16
Remaining
Races		 Resultant
Points		 Finishing Spot
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10+
1 860 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 620 > 99% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% ^
5 540 98% 2% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
6 508 89% 11% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
7 476 51% 38% 10% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
9 412 < 1% < 1% < 1% 2% 9% 20% 29% 24% 12% 4%
11 364 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
13 300 X X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
15 268 X X X X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
17 236 X X X X X X X < 1% < 1% > 99%
19 220 X X X X X X X X X 100%
21 220 X X X X X X X X X 100%
23 204 X X X X X X X X X 100%
24 204 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot

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