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Sun Jul 21 4:15 am

IRL Week 13 of 17 - Regular Season

Ryan Hunter-Reay What If?

The Ryan Hunter-Reay What If table presents probabilities of different IRL Driver Championship finishes depended upon how Ryan Hunter-Reay completes future races. These races include either the next race or all 5 remaining races. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results.

Ryan Hunter-Reay What If?

Next Race - Honda Indy 200 at Mid-Ohio at Mid-Ohio Sports Car Course

  Resultant
Points
Finishing Spot
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10+
Win Next Race
(1st Place)
352 <1% <1% <1% 1% 40% 33% 17% 6% 2% <1%
Current Standings 298 <1% <1% <1% <1% 15% 23% 24% 19% 13% 7%
21st Place 307 <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% 15% 20% 23% 20% 16%


Remaining Races

Finish for
the 5
Remaining
Races
Resultant
Points
Finishing Spot
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10+
1 568 1% 32% 60% 6% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 503 <1% <1% 1% 25% 74% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^
3 478 X <1% <1% 4% 86% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^
4 463 X X <1% 1% 72% 26% 2% <1% <1% ^
5 453 X X <1% <1% 55% 39% 5% <1% <1% <1%
6 443 X X <1% <1% 34% 49% 15% 1% <1% <1%
7 433 X X X <1% 16% 48% 30% 5% <1% <1%
8 423 X X X <1% 6% 33% 43% 16% 2% <1%
9 408 X X X <1% <1% 8% 33% 41% 16% 2%
10 398 X X X X <1% 1% 13% 40% 36% 9%
11 393 X X X X <1% <1% 7% 31% 44% 18%
12 388 X X X X <1% <1% 3% 21% 46% 31%
13 383 X X X X <1% <1% 1% 11% 41% 47%
14 378 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 5% 31% 64%
15 373 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 20% 79%
16 368 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 10% 89%
17 363 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 96%
18 358 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
19 353 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 348 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
21 343 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot