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Sun Sep 1 6:45 pm

IRL Week 17 of 17 - Regular Season

Simon Pagenaud What If?

The Simon Pagenaud What If table presents probabilities of different IRL Driver Championship finishes depended upon how Simon Pagenaud completes future races. These races include either the next race or all 1 remaining races. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results.

Simon Pagenaud What If?

Next Race - Firestone Grand Prix of Monterey at Weathertech Raceway Laguna Seca

  Resultant
Points
Finishing Spot
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10+
Win Next Race
(1st Place)
605 53% 47% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 551 7% 37% 43% 12% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21st Place 560 X <1% 37% 58% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^


Remaining Races

Finish for
the 1
Remaining
Races
Resultant
Points
Finishing Spot
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10+
1 605 52% 48% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 592 19% 73% 8% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 587 6% 73% 21% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 584 2% 63% 35% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 582 <1% 44% 49% 6% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 580 <1% 37% 55% 7% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 578 X 33% 59% 8% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 576 X 29% 62% 9% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 573 X 25% 66% 9% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 571 X 23% 67% 10% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
11 570 X 19% 70% 11% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 569 X 10% 55% 36% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 568 X 8% 55% 37% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 567 X 7% 56% 37% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
15 566 X 6% 55% 40% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
16 565 X 5% 55% 40% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
17 564 X 3% 48% 49% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 563 X 2% 49% 49% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 562 X 1% 48% 50% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 561 X 1% 39% 56% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 560 X <1% 39% 57% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot