PlayoffStatus.com

Wed May 17 1:45 am

NASCAR Regular Season - Week 12 of 26

Brad Keselowski What If?

The What If tables presents the probability that Brad Keselowski wins different qualifing spots for the next NASCAR playoff round depended upon how he finishes future races. These races include either the next race or all 15 remaining races of the current round. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results.

Brad Keselowski What If?

Next Race - Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway

  Resultant
Wins
Resultant
Points
Qualifing Playoff Spot No Playoffs No POs
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17+
Win Next Race
(1st Place)
3 468 71% 21% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 2 408 45% 25% 14% 9% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
40th Place 2 409 40% 25% 16% 10% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Remaining Races

Finish for
the 15
Remaining
Races
Resultant
Wins
Resultant
Points
Qualifing Playoff Spot No Playoffs No POs
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17+
1 17 1308 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 2 1203 1% 14% 36% 35% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 2 1158 1% 14% 37% 35% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 2 1113 2% 14% 37% 33% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 2 1068 1% 14% 35% 36% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 2 1023 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 2 978 1% 9% 32% 40% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 2 933 <1% 6% 30% 40% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 2 888 <1% 5% 24% 41% 25% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 2 813 <1% 1% 15% 38% 33% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
11 2 798 <1% 1% 14% 36% 35% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 2 783 <1% 1% 12% 35% 35% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 2 768 <1% 1% 9% 32% 37% 17% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 2 753 <1% 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
15 2 738 <1% <1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
16 2 723 <1% <1% 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
17 2 708 <1% <1% 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 2 693 <1% <1% 3% 18% 37% 29% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 2 678 <1% <1% 2% 15% 36% 31% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 2 663 <1% <1% 1% 13% 33% 35% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 2 648 <1% <1% 1% 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 2 633 <1% <1% 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 2 618 <1% <1% <1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 2 603 <1% <1% <1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 2 588 <1% <1% <1% 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 2 573 <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 2 558 <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 2 543 <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 32% 32% 15% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
29 2 528 <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
30 2 513 <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
31 2 498 <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
32 2 483 <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 28% 35% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
33 2 468 <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 29% 33% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
34 2 453 <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
35 2 438 X <1% <1% 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
36 2 423 X <1% <1% 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
37 2 423 X <1% <1% 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
38 2 423 X <1% <1% 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
39 2 423 X <1% <1% 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
40 2 423 X <1% <1% 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this qualifing playoff spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this qualifing playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing playoff spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing playoff spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot