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Home > NASCAR > Brian Simo What If? Tue Nov 17 3:31 pm

NASCAR Week 10 of 10 of the Chase

Brian Simo What If?

The What If tables presents the probability that Brian Simo wins different Chase spots depended upon how he finishes future races. These races include either the next race or all 1 remaining races of the Chase. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results.


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Brian Simo What If?

Next Race - FORD 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway

  Resultant
Points		 Chase Spot No Chase
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+
Win Next Race
(1st Place)		 190 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
Current Standings 0 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
Lose Next Race
(43rd Place)		 34 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%


Remaining Races

Finish for
the 1
Remaining
Races		 Resultant
Points		 Chase Spot No Chase
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+
1 190 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
5 160 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
10 139 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
15 120 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
20 105 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
25 88 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
30 73 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
35 58 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
40 43 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
43 34 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this Chase spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this Chase spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this Chase spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this Chase spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot

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