PlayoffStatus.com

Wed Jun 21 1:30 am

NASCAR Regular Season - Week 16 of 26

Denny Hamlin What If?

The What If tables presents the probability that Denny Hamlin wins different qualifing spots for the next NASCAR playoff round depended upon how he finishes future races. These races include either the next race or all 11 remaining races of the current round. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results.

Denny Hamlin What If?

Next Race - Toyota-Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway

  Resultant
Wins
Resultant
Points
Qualifing Playoff Spot No Playoffs No POs
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17+
Win Next Race
(1st Place)
1 490 <1% 1% 1% 2% 12% 11% 14% 22% 21% 11% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 0 430 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 2% 4% 6% 6% 4% 1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 13% 51%
40th Place 0 431 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 2% 3% 6% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 59%


Remaining Races

Finish for
the 11
Remaining
Races
Resultant
Wins
Resultant
Points
Qualifing Playoff Spot No Playoffs No POs
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17+
1 11 1090 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 0 1013 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 19% 29% 25% 15% 3%
3 0 980 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 19% 28% 25% 14% 5%
4 0 947 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 18% 27% 25% 15% 6%
5 0 914 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 18% 27% 25% 15% 7%
6 0 881 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 17% 27% 25% 16% 8%
7 0 848 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 14% 25% 26% 19% 11%
8 0 815 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 20% 27% 23% 19%
9 0 782 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 13% 24% 27% 32%
10 0 727 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 11% 23% 63%
11 0 716 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 21% 67%
12 0 705 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 19% 73%
13 0 694 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 17% 77%
14 0 683 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 14% 82%
15 0 672 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 86%
16 0 661 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 89%
17 0 650 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
18 0 639 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
19 0 628 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 96%
20 0 617 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
25 0 562 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 0 507 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
35 0 452 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 0 441 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this qualifing playoff spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this qualifing playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing playoff spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing playoff spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot