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NASCAR Week 10 of 10 of the Chase

Juan Montoya Chase Status

Is Juan Montoya going to win the NASCAR Chase? The Juan Montoya Status table presents the probability that he wins different qualifing Chase spots. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results.


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Juan Montoya Status

Current Place Points Points
Ahead/Behind
1st Place		 Chase Spot No Chase
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+
6 6203 -289 X X < 1% 7% 34% 33% 17% 9% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this Chase spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this Chase spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this Chase spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this Chase spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot

Juan Montoya Statistics

Races Started Race Wins Average Points/Race 1st Place Average Points/Race Points/Race Needed to Tie 1st Place Average Finish Needed to Tie 1st Place Current Average Finish
35 0 127 143 432 > 1 14

Juan Montoya Regular Season Race Results

  Race Track Place Total Points Bonus Points Penality Points
1 DAYTONA 500 Daytona Int’l Speedway 14 121 0 0
2 AUTO CLUB 500 Auto Club Speedway 11 135 5 0
3 SHELBY 427 Las Vegas Motor Speedway 31 70 0 0
4 KOBALT TOOLS 500 Atlanta Motor Speedway 27 82 0 0
5 FOOD CITY 500 Bristol Motor Speedway 9 138 0 0
6 GOODY’S FAST PAIN RELIEF 500 Martinsville Speedway 12 127 0 0
7 SAMSUNG 500 Texas Motor Speedway 7 146 0 0
8 SUBWAY FRESH FIT 500 Phoenix International Raceway 24 91 0 0
9 AARON’S 499 Talladega Superspeedway 20 108 5 0
10 CROWN ROYAL PRESENTS THE RUSSELL FRIEDMAN 400 Richmond International Raceway 10 134 0 0
11 SOUTHERN 500 Darlington Raceway 20 103 0 0
12 COCA-COLA 600 Lowe’s Motor Speedway 8 142 0 0
13 DOVER 400 Dover International Speedway 30 78 5 0
14 POCONO 500 Pocono Raceway 8 142 0 0
15 LIFELOCK 400 Michigan International Speedway 6 150 0 0
16 TOYOTA/SAVE MART 350 Inneon Raceway 6 150 0 0
17 LENOX INDUSTRIAL TOOLS 301 New Hampshire Motor Speedway 12 132 5 0
18 COKE ZERO 400 POWERED BY COCA-COLA Daytona Int’l Speedway 9 138 0 0
19 LIFELOCK.COM 400 Chicagoland Speedway 10 134 0 0
20 ALLSTATE 400 AT THE BRICKYARD Indianapolis Motor Speedway 11 140 10 0
21 PENNSYLVANIA 500 Pocono Raceway 2 170 0 0
22 CENTURION BOATS AT THE GLEN Watkins Glen Int’l 6 150 0 0
23 MICHIGAN 400 Michigan International Speedway 19 106 0 0
24 SHARPIE 500 Bristol Motor Speedway 25 88 0 0
25 PEP BOYS AUTO 500 Atlanta Motor Speedway 3 170 5 0
26 CHEVY ROCK & ROLL 400 Richmond International Raceway 19 106 0 0

Juan Montoya Chase Race Results

  Race Track Place Total Points Bonus Points Penality Points
27 SYLVANIA 300 New Hampshire Int’l Speedway 3 175 10 0
28 DOVER 400 Dover International Speedway 4 160 0 0
29 KANSAS 400 Kansas Speedway 4 165 5 0
30 PEPSI 500 Auto Club Speedway 3 170 5 0
31 BANK OF AMERICA 500 Lowe’s Motor Speedway 35 58 0 0
32 TUMS FAST RELIEF 500 Martinsville Speedway 3 170 5 0
33 AMP ENERGY 500 Talladega Superspeedway 19 111 5 0
34 DICKIES 500 Texas Motor Speedway 37 52 0 0
35 CHECKER O’REILLY AUTO PARTS 500 PRESENTED BY PENNZOIL Phoenix International Raceway 8 142 0 0
36 FORD 400 Homestead-Miami Speedway        
  • Notes
  • Green background indicates the points are greater than needed to tie to 1th place
  • Red background indicates the points are less than needed to tie to 1th place

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