PlayoffStatus.com

Wed Apr 18 5:00 am

NASCAR Regular Season - Week 9 of 26

Kevin Harvick What If?

The What If tables presents the probability that Kevin Harvick wins different qualifing spots for the next NASCAR playoff round depended upon how he finishes future races. These races include either the next race or all 18 remaining races of the current round. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results.

Kevin Harvick What If?

Next Race - Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond International Raceway

  Resultant
Wins
Resultant
Points
Qualifing Playoff Spot No Playoffs No POs
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17+
Win Next Race
(1st Place)
3 350 47% 48% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 2 290 30% 53% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
40th Place 2 291 26% 52% 14% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Remaining Races

Finish for
the 18
Remaining
Races
Resultant
Wins
Resultant
Points
Qualifing Playoff Spot No Playoffs No POs
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17+
1 20 1370 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 2 1244 <1% 20% 44% 29% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 2 1190 <1% 17% 43% 31% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 2 1136 <1% 18% 43% 31% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 2 1082 <1% 18% 43% 30% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 2 1028 <1% 18% 44% 29% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 2 974 <1% 18% 43% 30% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 2 920 <1% 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 2 866 <1% 6% 31% 39% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 2 812 <1% 3% 20% 40% 28% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
11 2 758 <1% 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 2 740 <1% 1% 11% 32% 36% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 2 722 <1% 1% 9% 30% 36% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 2 704 <1% 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
15 2 686 <1% 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
16 2 668 <1% <1% 6% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
17 2 650 <1% <1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 2 632 <1% 1% 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 2 614 <1% <1% 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 2 596 <1% <1% 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 2 578 <1% <1% 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 2 560 <1% <1% 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
23 2 542 <1% <1% 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
24 2 524 <1% <1% 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
25 2 506 <1% <1% 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
26 2 488 <1% <1% 2% 11% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
27 2 470 <1% <1% 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
28 2 452 <1% <1% 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
29 2 434 <1% <1% 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
30 2 416 <1% <1% 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
31 2 398 <1% <1% 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
32 2 380 X <1% 2% 10% 26% 34% 21% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
33 2 362 X <1% 2% 10% 26% 34% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
34 2 344 X <1% 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
35 2 326 X <1% 1% 9% 23% 31% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 9%
36 2 308 X <1% 1% 6% 17% 21% 14% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 36%
37 2 308 X <1% 1% 6% 16% 21% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 36%
38 2 308 X <1% 1% 6% 17% 21% 14% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 35%
39 2 308 X <1% 1% 6% 17% 22% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 34%
40 2 308 X <1% 1% 6% 17% 22% 14% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 33%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this qualifing playoff spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this qualifing playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing playoff spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing playoff spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot