PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Mar 10 7:30 pm

NASCAR Regular Season - Week 5 of 26

Kevin Harvick What If?

The What If tables presents the probability that Kevin Harvick wins different qualifing spots for the next NASCAR playoff round depended upon how he finishes future races. These races include either the next race or all 22 remaining races of the current round. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results.

Kevin Harvick What If?

Next Race - Auto Club 400 at Auto Club Speedway

  Resultant
Wins
Resultant
Points
Qualifing Playoff Spot No Playoffs No POs
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17+
Win Next Race
(1st Place)
1 228 14% 12% 9% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Current Standings 0 168 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 5% 52%
40th Place 0 169 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 5% 55%


Remaining Races

Finish for
the 22
Remaining
Races
Resultant
Wins
Resultant
Points
Qualifing Playoff Spot No Playoffs No POs
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17+
1 22 1488 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 0 1334 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 91% <1%
3 0 1268 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 91% <1%
4 0 1202 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 91% <1%
5 0 1136 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 91% <1%
6 0 1070 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 90% <1%
7 0 1004 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 90% <1%
8 0 938 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 91% <1%
9 0 872 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 90% <1%
10 0 806 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 88% 2%
11 0 740 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 75% 14%
12 0 718 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 8% 63% 27%
13 0 696 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 47% 44%
14 0 674 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 30% 62%
15 0 652 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 17% 75%
16 0 630 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 11% 83%
17 0 608 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 88%
18 0 586 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 94%
19 0 564 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
20 0 542 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
25 0 432 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 0 322 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
35 0 212 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
40 0 190 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this qualifing playoff spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this qualifing playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing playoff spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing playoff spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot