PlayoffStatus.com

Wed Jul 26 1:00 am

NASCAR Regular Season - Week 21 of 26

Kyle Larson What If?

The What If tables presents the probability that Kyle Larson wins different qualifing spots for the next NASCAR playoff round depended upon how he finishes future races. These races include either the next race or all 6 remaining races of the current round. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results.

Kyle Larson What If?

Next Race - Overton’s 400 at Pocono Raceway

  Resultant
Wins
Resultant
Points
Qualifing Playoff Spot No Playoffs No POs
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17+
Win Next Race
(1st Place)
3 827 56% 36% 8% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 2 767 20% 19% 23% 28% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
40th Place 2 768 14% 19% 24% 31% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^


Remaining Races

Finish for
the 6
Remaining
Races
Resultant
Wins
Resultant
Points
Qualifing Playoff Spot No Playoffs No POs
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17+
1 8 1127 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 2 1085 X X 32% 51% 16% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 2 1067 X X 34% 50% 15% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 2 1049 X X 34% 50% 15% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 2 1031 X X 35% 50% 15% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 2 1013 X X 36% 49% 14% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 2 995 X X 35% 50% 14% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 2 977 X X 35% 49% 15% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 2 959 X X 34% 50% 15% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 2 929 X X 34% 49% 16% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
11 2 923 X X 33% 50% 16% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 2 917 X X 33% 49% 17% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 2 911 X X 32% 49% 17% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 2 905 X X 31% 50% 18% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
15 2 899 X X 31% 49% 19% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
16 2 893 X X 30% 49% 19% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
17 2 887 X X 29% 48% 21% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 2 881 X X 28% 48% 21% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 2 875 X X 27% 49% 21% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 2 869 X X 27% 47% 23% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 2 863 X X 25% 48% 23% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 2 857 X X 24% 49% 24% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 2 851 X X 23% 47% 26% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 2 845 X X 22% 47% 26% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 2 839 X X 21% 47% 28% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 2 833 X X 20% 47% 28% 5% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 2 827 X X 19% 46% 28% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 2 821 X X 17% 45% 31% 7% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 2 815 X X 16% 44% 32% 7% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 2 809 X X 14% 44% 33% 8% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
31 2 803 X X 13% 42% 35% 10% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
32 2 797 X X 12% 41% 36% 11% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
33 2 791 X X 10% 40% 37% 11% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
34 2 785 X X 9% 39% 38% 12% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 2 779 X X 8% 37% 40% 13% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
36 2 773 X X 7% 35% 41% 15% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
37 2 773 X X 7% 37% 40% 15% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
38 2 773 X X 7% 35% 41% 14% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
39 2 773 X X 7% 36% 40% 15% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
40 2 773 X X 7% 36% 41% 15% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this qualifing playoff spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this qualifing playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing playoff spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing playoff spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot