PlayoffStatus.com

Wed Jul 26 1:00 am

NASCAR Regular Season - Week 21 of 26

Martin Truex Jr. What If?

The What If tables presents the probability that Martin Truex Jr. wins different qualifing spots for the next NASCAR playoff round depended upon how he finishes future races. These races include either the next race or all 6 remaining races of the current round. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results.

Martin Truex Jr. What If?

Next Race - Overton’s 400 at Pocono Raceway

  Resultant
Wins
Resultant
Points
Qualifing Playoff Spot No Playoffs No POs
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17+
Win Next Race
(1st Place)
4 840 94% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 3 780 59% 33% 7% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
40th Place 3 781 53% 37% 9% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^


Remaining Races

Finish for
the 6
Remaining
Races
Resultant
Wins
Resultant
Points
Qualifing Playoff Spot No Playoffs No POs
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17+
1 9 1140 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 3 1098 57% 38% 5% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 3 1080 59% 37% 5% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 3 1062 59% 36% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 3 1044 58% 37% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 3 1026 57% 38% 5% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 3 1008 55% 39% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 3 990 51% 41% 8% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 3 972 46% 44% 9% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 3 942 39% 48% 12% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
11 3 936 38% 49% 12% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 3 930 37% 50% 12% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 3 924 36% 50% 13% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 3 918 36% 50% 13% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
15 3 912 36% 51% 13% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
16 3 906 36% 51% 13% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
17 3 900 34% 51% 14% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 3 894 34% 52% 14% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 3 888 35% 51% 14% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 3 882 33% 51% 15% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 3 876 33% 51% 15% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 3 870 33% 51% 15% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 3 864 32% 51% 16% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 3 858 32% 51% 16% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 3 852 30% 51% 17% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 3 846 31% 50% 17% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 3 840 30% 51% 18% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 3 834 30% 51% 18% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 3 828 28% 50% 20% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 3 822 28% 50% 20% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
31 3 816 27% 50% 21% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
32 3 810 26% 50% 21% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
33 3 804 26% 49% 23% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
34 3 798 25% 50% 23% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 3 792 23% 50% 24% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
36 3 786 23% 49% 25% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
37 3 786 24% 49% 24% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
38 3 786 23% 50% 24% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
39 3 786 23% 49% 25% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
40 3 786 23% 50% 24% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this qualifing playoff spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this qualifing playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing playoff spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing playoff spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot