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NASCAR Week 10 of 10 of the Chase

NASCAR Chase Standings

Is your favorite driver going to win the NASCAR Chase? The NASCAR Chase Standings table presents the probability that a driver wins different Chase spots. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results. Click a driver name to proceed to the driver's status page.


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NASCAR Chase Standings

Place Driver Points Points
Ahead/Behind
1st Place		 Chase Spot No Chase
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+
1 Jimmie Johnson 6492 - 95% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 Mark Martin 6384 -108 5% 73% 17% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 Jeff Gordon 6323 -169 X 20% 63% 15% 2% < 1% < 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 Kurt Busch 6281 -211 X 2% 19% 62% 10% 6% 1% < 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 Tony Stewart 6207 -285 X X 1% 11% 45% 27% 12% 5% < 1% ^ ^ ^ ^
6 Juan Montoya 6203 -289 X X < 1% 7% 34% 33% 17% 9% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^
7 Greg Biffle 6171 -321 X X < 1% 1% 7% 23% 39% 26% 4% < 1% ^ ^ ^
8 Denny Hamlin 6140 -352 X X X < 1% 2% 11% 29% 44% 13% 1% ^ ^ ^
9 Ryan Newman 6081 -411 X X X X < 1% < 1% 2% 17% 69% 12% 1% ^ ^
10 Kasey Kahne 6016 -476 X X X X X X < 1% < 1% 13% 66% 21% ^ ^
11 Carl Edwards 5972 -520 X X X X X X X X 1% 21% 78% < 1% ^
12 Brian Vickers 5826 -666 X X X X X X X X X X < 1% > 99% ^
 
13 Kyle Busch 4310 -2182 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
14 Matt Kenseth 4265 -2227 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
15 Clint Bowyer 4224 -2268 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
16 David Reutimann 4103 -2389 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
17 Jeff Burton 3847 -2645 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
18 Marcos Ambrose 3767 -2725 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
19 Joey Logano 3700 -2792 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
20 Casey Mears 3653 -2839 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
21 Kevin Harvick 3626 -2866 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
22 Jamie McMurray 3495 -2997 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
23 Martin Truex Jr. 3365 -3127 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
24 Dale Earnhardt Jr. 3343 -3149 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
25 A.J. Allmendinger 3342 -3150 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
26 Elliott Sadler 3310 -3182 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
27 David Ragan 3191 -3301 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
28 Reed Sorenson 3104 -3388 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
29 Sam Hornish Jr. 3103 -3389 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
30 Bobby Labonte 3058 -3434 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
31 David Stremme 2919 -3573 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
32 Paul Menard 2894 -3598 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
33 Michael Waltrip 2761 -3731 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
34 Robby Gordon 2653 -3839 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
35 Scott Speed 2608 -3884 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
36 John Andretti 2533 -3959 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
37 David Gilliland 1852 -4640 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
38 Brad Keselowski 1440 -5052 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
39 Regan Smith 1373 -5119 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
40 Joe Nemechek 1342 -5150 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
41 Dave Blaney 1204 -5288 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
42 Max Papis 1047 -5445 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
43 Bill Elliott 980 -5512 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
44 Mike Bliss 577 -5915 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
45 Tony Raines 528 -5964 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
46 Aric Almirola 527 -5965 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
47 Scott Riggs 448 -6044 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
48 Erik Darnell 417 -6075 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
49 Patrick Carpentier 351 -6141 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
50 Travis Kvapil 326 -6166 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
51 Sterling Marlin 316 -6176 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
52 Terry Labonte 301 -6191 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
53 Michael McDowell 292 -6200 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
54 Jeremy Mayfield 288 -6204 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
55 Mike Skinner 200 -6292 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
56 Ron Fellows 158 -6334 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
57 Boris Said 152 -6340 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
58 Todd Bodine 123 -6369 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
59 Robert Richardson Jr. 109 -6383 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
60 Andy Lally 82 -6410 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
61 Mike Wallace 80 -6412 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
62 Scott Wimmer 76 -6416 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
63 Dexter Bean 55 -6437 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
64 Brandon Ash 40 -6452 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
65 P.J. Jones 40 -6452 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
66 Derrike Cope 37 -6455 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
67 Tony Ave 34 -6458 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
68 Brian Simo 0 -6492 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
69 Chris Cook 0 -6492 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
70 David Starr 0 -6492 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
71 Dennis Setzer 0 -6492 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
72 Eric McClure 0 -6492 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
73 Geoffrey Bodine 0 -6492 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
74 J.J. Yeley 0 -6492 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
75 Josh Wise 0 -6492 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
76 Kelly Bires 0 -6492 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
77 Kevin Conway 0 -6492 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
78 Kevin Hamlin 0 -6492 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
79 Kirk Shelmerdine 0 -6492 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
80 Mike Garvey 0 -6492 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
81 Norm Benning 0 -6492 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
82 Ted Christopher 0 -6492 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
83 Tom Hubert 0 -6492 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
84 Trevor Boys 0 -6492 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
85 Carl Long -200 -6692 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this Chase spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this Chase spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this Chase spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this Chase spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot

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