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NASCAR Week 12 of 26 - Regular Season

NASCAR Chase Standings

Is your favorite driver going to participate in the NASCAR Chase? The NASCAR Chase Standings table presents the probability that a driver wins different qualifing Chase spots. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results. Click a driver name to proceed to the driver's status page.


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NASCAR Chase Standings

Place Driver Points Points
Ahead 11th or
Behind 10th Place		 Wins Qualifing Chase Spot No Chase
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+
1 Jimmie Johnson 423 108 2 92% 6% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
2 Carl Edwards 379 64 1 5% 50% 22% 11% 6% 3% 2% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
3 Matt Kenseth 364 49 3 1% 16% 22% 19% 14% 10% 6% 4% 3% 2% 3% < 1% < 1%
4 Dale Earnhardt Jr. 359 44 0 1% 15% 25% 21% 15% 10% 5% 3% 2% 1% < 1% < 1% 1%
5 Clint Bowyer 349 34 0 < 1% 4% 10% 15% 17% 16% 13% 8% 5% 4% 1% 1% 5%
6 Kasey Kahne 326 11 1 < 1% 1% 2% 5% 7% 10% 11% 11% 10% 8% 16% 10% 8%
7 Brad Keselowski 326 11 0 < 1% 4% 10% 15% 17% 15% 12% 8% 6% 4% 1% 1% 8%
8 Kyle Busch 325 10 2 < 1% 3% 6% 9% 10% 12% 12% 10% 8% 6% 19% 3% 1%
9 Aric Almirola 317 2 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 9% 12% 13% 1% 3% 48%
10 Kevin Harvick 315 0 1 < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 20% 21% 23%
11 Paul Menard 315 0 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 11% 13% 2% 4% 52%
12 Greg Biffle 311 -4 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 10% 3% 5% 50%
 
13 Jeff Gordon 311 -4 0 < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 11% 10% 10% 2% 4% 41%
14 Martin Truex Jr. 301 -14 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 5% 7% 52%
15 Jamie McMurray 295 -20 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 2% 5% 80%
16 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 282 -33 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 1% 2% 96%
17 Ryan Newman 276 -39 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 5% 88%
18 Kurt Busch 262 -53 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 4% 5% 90%
19 Joey Logano 259 -56 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 7% 9% 82%
20 Jeff Burton 258 -57 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 97%
21 Tony Stewart 253 -62 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 99%
22 Juan Pablo Montoya 238 -77 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 1% 98%
23 Marcos Ambrose 235 -80 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
24 Mark Martin 226 -89 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 2% 3% 95%
25 Casey Mears 210 -105 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
26 David Ragan 197 -118 1 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
27 Denny Hamlin 197 -118 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 6% 7% 86%
28 Danica Patrick 196 -119 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
29 Bobby Labonte 195 -120 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
30 Dave Blaney 190 -125 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
31 David Gilliland 188 -127 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
32 J.J. Yeley 157 -158 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
33 David Stremme 150 -165 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
34 David Reutimann 149 -166 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
35 Landon Cassill 130 -185 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
36 Travis Kvapil 127 -188 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
37 AJ Allmendinger 122 -193 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
38 Scott Speed 74 -241 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
39 Michael McDowell 72 -243 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
40 Michael Waltrip 63 -252 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
41 Terry Labonte 52 -263 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
42 Timmy Hill 45 -270 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
43 Ken Schrader 29 -286 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
44 Scott Riggs 6 -309 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
45 Brian Keselowski 4 -311 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
46 Austin Dillon 0 -315 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
47 Brian Vickers 0 -315 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
48 Elliott Sadler 0 -315 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
49 Joe Nemechek 0 -315 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
50 Josh Wise 0 -315 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
51 Mike Bliss 0 -315 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
52 Regan Smith 0 -315 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
53 Sam Hornish Jr. 0 -315 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
54 Trevor Bayne 0 -315 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this qualifing Chase spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this qualifing Chase spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot

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