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NASCAR Week 24 of 26 - Regular Season

NASCAR Chase Standings

Is your favorite driver going to participate in the NASCAR Chase? The NASCAR Chase Standings table presents the probability that a driver wins different qualifing Chase spots. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results. Click a driver name to proceed to the driver's status page.


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NASCAR Chase Standings

Place Driver Points Points
Ahead/Behind
12th Place		 Qualifing Chase Spot No Chase
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+
1 Kyle Busch 3429 694 98% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 Carl Edwards 3207 472 1% 75% 15% 6% 3% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% ^ ^
3 Jimmie Johnson 3127 392 < 1% 17% 43% 23% 17% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
4 Dale Earnhardt Jr. 3084 349 < 1% 4% 22% 33% 40% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
5 Jeff Burton 3080 345 < 1% 3% 20% 38% 39% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
6 Tony Stewart 2871 136 X < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 40% 21% 14% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2%
7 Greg Biffle 2854 119 X < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 28% 24% 16% 12% 8% 5% 4% 2%
8 Kevin Harvick 2812 77 X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 12% 18% 19% 16% 14% 10% 6% 6%
9 Jeff Gordon 2791 56 X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 8% 14% 15% 16% 14% 13% 9% 12%
10 Matt Kenseth 2783 48 X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 7% 13% 16% 15% 14% 12% 9% 13%
11 Kasey Kahne 2756 21 X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 2% 5% 9% 13% 15% 17% 16% 24%
12 Denny Hamlin 2735 0 X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 12% 14% 17% 37%
 
13 Clint Bowyer 2709 -26 X X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 11% 17% 58%
14 David Ragan 2709 -26 X X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 3% 5% 10% 14% 18% 48%
15 Brian Vickers 2569 -166 X X X X X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 99%
16 Martin Truex Jr. 2534 -201 X X X X X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
17 Ryan Newman 2524 -211 X X X X X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
18 Jamie McMurray 2365 -370 X X X X X X X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
19 Kurt Busch 2324 -411 X X X X X X X X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
20 Elliott Sadler 2297 -438 X X X X X X X X X X < 1% < 1% > 99%
21 Juan Montoya 2205 -530 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
22 Bobby Labonte 2203 -532 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
23 Travis Kvapil 2195 -540 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
24 Casey Mears 2179 -556 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
25 Mark Martin 2115 -620 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
26 David Gilliland 2064 -671 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
27 David Reutimann 2048 -687 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
28 Paul Menard 1974 -761 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
29 Robby Gordon 1822 -913 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
30 Reed Sorenson 1800 -935 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
31 Michael Waltrip 1788 -947 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
32 Dave Blaney 1776 -959 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
33 Sam Hornish Jr. 1771 -964 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
34 Scott Riggs 1672 -1063 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
35 Regan Smith 1660 -1075 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
36 Patrick Carpentier 1406 -1329 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
37 Joe Nemechek 1333 -1402 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
38 A.J. Allmendinger 1305 -1430 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
39 J.J. Yeley 1263 -1472 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
40 Michael McDowell 1200 -1535 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
41 Bill Elliott 705 -2030 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
42 Terry Labonte 699 -2036 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
43 Dario Franchitti 606 -2129 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
44 Jeremy Mayfield 578 -2157 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
45 Kyle Petty 540 -2195 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
46 Mike Skinner 481 -2254 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
47 Aric Almirola 474 -2261 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
48 Dale Jarrett 367 -2368 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
49 Marcos Ambrose 333 -2402 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
50 Ken Schrader 298 -2437 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
51 Sterling Marlin 268 -2467 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
52 Tony Raines 222 -2513 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
53 Ron Fellows 200 -2535 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
54 Boris Said 194 -2541 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
55 Jason Leffler 192 -2543 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
56 Johnny Sauter 155 -2580 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
57 John Andretti 149 -2586 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
58 Jon Wood 119 -2616 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
59 Chad McCumbee 112 -2623 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
60 Max Papis 92 -2643 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
61 David Stremme 84 -2651 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
62 P.J. Jones 52 -2683 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
63 Brad Coleman 49 -2686 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
64 Scott Pruett 49 -2686 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
65 Brian Simo 34 -2701 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
66 Kenny Wallace 34 -2701 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
67 Brandon Ash 0 -2735 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
68 Burney Lamar 0 -2735 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
69 Carl Long 0 -2735 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
70 Chad Chaffin 0 -2735 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
71 Eric McClure 0 -2735 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
72 Jacques Villeneuve 0 -2735 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
73 Jeff Green 0 -2735 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
74 Johnny Benson 0 -2735 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
75 Scott Wimmer 0 -2735 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
76 Stanton Barrett 0 -2735 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better than this qualifing Chase spot
  • X means the driver cannot win this qualifing Chase spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the driver will win this qualifing Chase spot - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny for this spot

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