PlayoffStatus.com

Wed Nov 22 12:00 am

NASCAR Season Complete

NASCAR Playoff Probabilities

How far is your favorite driver going proceed into the NASCAR playoffs? The NASCAR Playoff Probabilities table provides the probabilities that a driver participates in different playoff rounds. All future race outcomes are based upon probabilities derived from past race results. Click a driver name to proceed to the driver's status page.

NASCAR Playoff Probabilities
Driver Wins Points Pts Playoff
Points
PO
Pts
Points
Behind 1st Place
Playoff Probabilities
Monster Energy Cup Champion Championship Race Participate Eliminator Round Participate Contender Round Participate Challenger Round Participate
Martin Truex Jr. 0 5040 0 0 100% ^ ^ ^ ^
Kyle Busch 0 5035 0 - X 100% ^ ^ ^
Kevin Harvick 0 5033 0 - X 100% ^ ^ ^
Brad Keselowski 0 5030 0 - X 100% ^ ^ ^
 
Chase Elliott 0 2377 0 - X X 100% ^ ^
Denny Hamlin 0 2354 0 - X X 100% ^ ^
Matt Kenseth 0 2349 0 - X X 100% ^ ^
Kyle Larson 0 2322 0 - X X 100% ^ ^
Ryan Blaney 0 2305 0 - X X X 100% ^
Jimmie Johnson 0 2260 0 - X X X 100% ^
Austin Dillon 0 2224 0 - X X X 100% ^
Jamie McMurray 0 2224 0 - X X X 100% ^
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 0 2222 0 - X X X X 100%
Kurt Busch 0 2217 0 - X X X X 100%
Kasey Kahne 0 2198 0 - X X X X 100%
Ryan Newman 0 2196 0 - X X X X 100%
Joey Logano 0 930 0 - X X X X X
Clint Bowyer 0 881 0 - X X X X X
Erik Jones 0 863 0 - X X X X X
Daniel Suarez 0 777 0 - X X X X X
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 0 668 0 - X X X X X
Trevor Bayne 0 660 0 - X X X X X
Paul Menard 0 631 0 - X X X X X
Ty Dillon 0 593 0 - X X X X X
Chris Buescher 0 564 0 - X X X X X
Michael McDowell 0 542 0 - X X X X X
AJ Allmendinger 0 531 0 - X X X X X
Danica Patrick 0 511 0 - X X X X X
Aric Almirola 0 502 0 - X X X X X
David Ragan 0 447 0 - X X X X X
Landon Cassill 0 382 0 - X X X X X
Matt DiBenedetto 0 363 0 - X X X X X
Cole Whitt 0 322 0 - X X X X X
Corey Lajoie 0 223 0 - X X X X X
Gray Gaulding 0 164 0 - X X X X X
Reed Sorenson 0 150 0 - X X X X X
Jeffrey Earnhardt 0 145 0 - X X X X X
Derrike Cope 0 42 0 - X X X X X
Michael Waltrip 0 29 0 - X X X X X
D.J. Kennington 0 17 0 - X X X X X
Billy Johnson 0 15 0 - X X X X X
Boris Said 0 15 0 - X X X X X
Cody Ware 0 6 0 - X X X X X
Gary Klutt 0 6 0 - X X X X X
Alon Day 0 5 0 - X X X X X
Kyle Weatherman 0 5 0 - X X X X X
Stephen Leicht 0 5 0 - X X X X X
Kevin O'Connell 0 4 0 - X X X X X
Hermie Sadler 0 3 0 - X X X X X
Tommy Regan 0 3 0 - X X X X X
BJ McLeod 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Brendan Gaughan 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Brett Moffitt 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Carl Long 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Darrell Wallace Jr. 0 0 0 - X X X X X
David Starr 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Elliott Sadler 0 0 0 - X X X X X
JJ Yeley 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Joey Gase 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Josh Bilicki 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Justin Marks 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Mark Thompson 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Ray Black Jr. 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Regan Smith 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Ross Chastain 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Ryan Sieg 0 0 0 - X X X X X
Timmy Hill 0 0 0 - X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the driver will finish better
  • X means the driver cannot participate and/or win the playoffs
  • 50% - probability the driver will win or participate in the playoffs - green number indicates the driver controls its destiny
  • 50% - probability the driver will win or participate in the playoffs - red number indicates the driver does not control its destiny