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NHL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NHL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NHL Post Season Probabilities
Record Current Series Stanley Cup Winners Stanley Cup Conference Championship Conf Series Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference Conf W L OTL Pts
Jets WesternWest 56 22 4 116 2‑0 32% 47% 66% 95% 100%
Maple Leafs EasternEast 52 26 4 108 2‑0 18% 35% 59% 91% 100%
Capitals EasternEast 51 22 9 111 1‑0 13% 28% 53% 86% 100%
Hurricanes EasternEast 47 30 5 99 2‑0 6% 17% 39% 89% 100%
Golden Knights WesternWest 50 22 10 110 1‑1 6% 13% 33% 59% 100%
Kings WesternWest 48 25 9 105 1‑0 5% 12% 34% 67% 100%
Panthers EasternEast 47 31 4 98 1‑0 4% 11% 26% 68% 100%
Stars WesternWest 50 26 6 106 1‑1 4% 9% 17% 50% 100%
Avalanche WesternWest 49 29 4 102 1‑1 4% 8% 16% 50% 100%
Wild WesternWest 45 30 7 97 1‑1 2% 5% 17% 41% 100%
Oilers WesternWest 48 29 5 101 0‑1 2% 5% 16% 33% 100%
Lightning EasternEast 47 27 8 102 0‑1 2% 5% 11% 32% 100%
Canadiens EasternEast 40 31 11 91 0‑1 <1% 1% 4% 14% 100%
Senators EasternEast 45 30 7 97 0‑2 <1% 1% 4% 9% 100%
Devils EasternEast 42 33 7 91 0‑2 <1% 1% 3% 11% 100%
Blues WesternWest 44 30 8 96 0‑2 <1% 1% 2% 5% 100%
Flames WesternWest 41 27 14 96   X X X X X
Canucks WesternWest 38 30 14 90   X X X X X
Blue Jackets EasternEast 40 33 9 89   X X X X X
Hockey Club WesternWest 38 31 13 89   X X X X X
Red Wings EasternEast 39 35 8 86   X X X X X
Rangers EasternEast 39 36 7 85   X X X X X
Islanders EasternEast 35 35 12 82   X X X X X
Ducks WesternWest 35 37 10 80   X X X X X
Penguins EasternEast 34 36 12 80   X X X X X
Sabres EasternEast 36 39 7 79   X X X X X
Bruins EasternEast 33 39 10 76   X X X X X
Flyers EasternEast 33 39 10 76   X X X X X
Kraken WesternWest 35 41 6 76   X X X X X
Predators WesternWest 30 44 8 68   X X X X X
Blackhawks WesternWest 25 46 11 61   X X X X X
Sharks WesternWest 20 50 12 52   X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot