The Most Important Games for the California Golden Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Golden Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. California Golden Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
California Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| California (3‑4) vs SMU (5‑1) |
3 | California Wins | <1% | 3% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| SMU Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Pittsburgh (5‑2) vs Miami (6‑0) |
1 | Pittsburgh Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Miami Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Tech (5‑2) vs Clemson (4‑2) |
0 | Virginia Tech Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Clemson Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Syracuse (2‑4) vs North Carolina (4‑2) |
0 | Syracuse Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (3‑3) vs Georgia Tech (2‑4) |
0 | Boston College Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| N.C. State (3‑3) vs Stanford (3‑4) |
0 | N.C. State Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Stanford Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Virginia (4‑3) vs Duke (4‑2) |
0 | Virginia Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Duke Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||