The Most Important Games for the California Golden Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Golden Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. California Golden Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
California Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| California (4‑0) vs Florida St. (0‑3) |
15 | California Wins | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Florida St. Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| N.C. State (2‑1) vs Clemson (1‑1) |
3 | N.C. State Wins | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Clemson Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Georgia Tech (3‑1) vs Louisville (2‑0) |
1 | Georgia Tech Wins | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Louisville Wins | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Stanford (1‑1) vs Syracuse (2‑0) |
1 | Stanford Wins | 13% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Syracuse Wins | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | ||