The Most Important Games for the Louisville Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Louisville Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Louisville Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| Louisville (7‑1) vs California (5‑4) |
33 | Louisville Wins | 11% | 26% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 23% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| California Wins | <1% | 4% | 24% | 19% | 16% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wake Forest (5‑3) vs Virginia (8‑1) |
5 | Wake Forest Wins | 17% | 18% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 23% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia Wins | 7% | 23% | 23% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boston College (1‑8) vs SMU (6‑3) |
2 | Boston College Wins | 9% | 24% | 30% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 23% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| SMU Wins | 9% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stanford (3‑6) vs North Carolina (3‑5) |
1 | Stanford Wins | 9% | 23% | 22% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 23% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 9% | 22% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida St. (4‑4) vs Clemson (3‑5) |
0 | Florida St. Wins | 9% | 23% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 23% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Clemson Wins | 9% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Miami (6‑2) vs Syracuse (3‑6) |
0 | Miami Wins | 9% | 23% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 23% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Syracuse Wins | 9% | 23% | 23% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||