The Most Important Games for the N.C. State Wolfpack are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolfpack final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. N.C. State Wolfpack fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
N.C. State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| N.C. State (4‑3) vs Pittsburgh (5‑2) |
1 | N.C. State Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Syracuse (3‑4) vs Georgia Tech (7‑0) |
0 | Syracuse Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Boston College (1‑6) vs Louisville (5‑1) |
0 | Boston College Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Louisville Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 1% | ||
| North Carolina (2‑4) vs Virginia (6‑1) |
0 | North Carolina Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Virginia Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Wake Forest (4‑2) vs SMU (5‑2) |
0 | Wake Forest Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | ||
| SMU Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Virginia Tech (2‑5) vs California (5‑2) |
0 | Virginia Tech Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | ||
| California Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Stanford (3‑4) vs Miami (5‑1) |
0 | Stanford Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Miami Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 1% | ||