The Most Important Games for the Virginia Cavaliers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cavaliers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Virginia Cavaliers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Virginia Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| Virginia (8‑1) vs Wake Forest (5‑3) |
34 | Virginia Wins | 68% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 57% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | 22% | 28% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| California (5‑4) vs Louisville (7‑1) |
5 | California Wins | 57% | 22% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 57% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Louisville Wins | 57% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boston College (1‑8) vs SMU (6‑3) |
2 | Boston College Wins | 58% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 57% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| SMU Wins | 57% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Syracuse (3‑6) vs Miami (6‑2) |
1 | Syracuse Wins | 58% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 57% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Miami Wins | 56% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stanford (3‑6) vs North Carolina (3‑5) |
0 | Stanford Wins | 57% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 57% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 57% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Clemson (3‑5) vs Florida St. (4‑4) |
0 | Clemson Wins | 57% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 57% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida St. Wins | 57% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||