The Most Important Games for the Virginia Cavaliers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cavaliers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Virginia Cavaliers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Virginia Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| Wake Forest (2‑1) vs Louisville (2‑1) |
1 | Wake Forest Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Louisville Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||
| California (2‑1) vs Clemson (2‑1) |
1 | California Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Clemson Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Virginia Tech (3‑0) vs Boston College (2‑1) |
0 | Virginia Tech Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Boston College Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Stanford (1‑2) vs Georgia Tech (1‑2) |
0 | Stanford Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||