UMass-Lowell River Hawks What If?

	Resultant Record		Regular Season Finish
	W	L	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7	8	NT
Win Next Game	6	7	X	X	5%	19%	35%	36%	4%	<1%	^
Current Standings	5	7	X	X	2%	12%	26%	43%	13%	4%	<1%
Lose Next Game	5	8	X	X	<1%	6%	20%	49%	18%	6%	<1%

	Regular Season Finish
	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7	8	NT
Best Case Scenario	X	X	5%	19%	35%	36%	4%	<1%	^
Current Standings	X	X	2%	12%	26%	43%	13%	4%	<1%
Worst Case Scenario	X	X	<1%	6%	20%	49%	18%	6%	<1%
Best Case Scenario UMass-Lowell beats Vermont					Worst Case Scenario Vermont beats UMass-Lowell

Notes
Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record		Regular Season Finish
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	W	L	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7	8	NT
4 of 4	100%	9	7	X	X	30%	60%	10%	^	^	^	^
3 of 4	75%	8	8	X	X	1%	27%	57%	16%	<1%	^	^
2 of 4	50%	7	9	X	X	X	1%	23%	72%	3%	^	^
1 of 4	25%	6	10	X	X	X	<1%	1%	65%	30%	4%	^
0 of 4	0%	5	11	X	X	X	X	X	18%	43%	39%	1%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
Table Sorting Method
* denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament

America East Basketball - Week 16 of 18