The UMass-Lowell River Hawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how UMass-Lowell plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 4 | 1 | 18% | 23% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 1 | 13% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 3% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 2 | 6% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 12 of 12 | 100% | 15 | 1 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 12 | 92% | 14 | 2 | 97% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 12 | 83% | 13 | 3 | 84% | 16% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 12 | 75% | 12 | 4 | 53% | 43% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 12 | 67% | 11 | 5 | 20% | 56% | 22% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 12 | 58% | 10 | 6 | 2% | 31% | 48% | 17% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 12 | 50% | 9 | 7 | <1% | 4% | 30% | 46% | 18% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 12 | 42% | 8 | 8 | X | <1% | 4% | 26% | 45% | 22% | 3% | <1% | ^ |
| 4 of 12 | 33% | 7 | 9 | X | X | <1% | 3% | 22% | 45% | 26% | 4% | <1% |
| 3 of 12 | 25% | 6 | 10 | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 20% | 49% | 27% | 2% |
| 2 of 12 | 17% | 5 | 11 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 26% | 58% | 14% |
| 1 of 12 | 8% | 4 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 54% | 42% |
| 0 of 12 | 0% | 3 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 29% | 71% |