The Most Important Games for the Charlotte 49ers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the 49ers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Charlotte 49ers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Charlotte Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11** First Round Bye |
12 | 13 | |||
| E. Carolina (15‑12) vs Texas-San Antonio (10‑16) |
12 | E. Carolina Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 21% | 28% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 18% | 30% | 49% | ||
| Texas-San Antonio Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 32% | 55% | ||
| Tulsa (11‑16) vs Rice (12‑15) |
11 | Tulsa Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 25% | 35% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 18% | 30% | 49% | ||
| Rice Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 56% | ||
| Temple (14‑13) vs UAB (18‑9) |
1 | Temple Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 18% | 31% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 18% | 30% | 49% | ||
| UAB Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 30% | 49% | ||
| Tulane (15‑11) vs Wichita St. (16‑10) |
0 | Tulane Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 18% | 31% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 18% | 30% | 49% | ||
| Wichita St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 18% | 30% | 49% | ||
| South Florida (13‑14) vs North Texas (18‑6) |
0 | South Florida Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 19% | 30% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 18% | 30% | 49% | ||
| North Texas Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 30% | 48% | ||
| Memphis (21‑5) vs Florida Atlantic (15‑11) |
0 | Memphis Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 18% | 30% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 18% | 30% | 49% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 18% | 30% | 49% | ||