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Wed Feb 25 10:30 pm

American Athletic Basketball - Week 17 of 18

Texas-San Antonio What If?

The Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Texas-San Antonio plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Texas-San Antonio What If?

Next Game - Wichita St. (18‑10)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
 2*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
 3**
First and Second
Round Byes
 4**
First and Second
Round Byes
 5***
First Round Bye
 6***
First Round Bye
 7 8 9 10 NT
Win Next Game 2 15 X X X X X X X X X X 100%
Current Standings 1 15 X X X X X X X X X X 100%
Lose Next Game 1 16 X X X X X X X X X X 100%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
 2*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
 3**
First and Second
Round Byes
 4**
First and Second
Round Byes
 5***
First Round Bye
 6***
First Round Bye
 7 8 9 10 NT
Current Standings X X X X X X X X X X 100%
Best Case Scenario
None 		Worst Case Scenario
None
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
 2*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
 3**
First and Second
Round Byes
 4**
First and Second
Round Byes
 5***
First Round Bye
 6***
First Round Bye
 7 8 9 10 NT
2 of 2 100% 3 15 X X X X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 2 50% 2 16 X X X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 2 0% 1 17 X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first, second, and third round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament