The Most Important Games for the East Carolina Pirates are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pirates final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. East Carolina Pirates fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
East Carolina Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| East Carolina (5‑3) vs Charlotte (1‑7) |
16 | East Carolina Wins | 10% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Charlotte Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Memphis (8‑1) vs Tulane (6‑2) |
6 | Memphis Wins | 12% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tulane Wins | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UTSA (4‑4) vs South Florida (6‑2) |
3 | UTSA Wins | 11% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Florida Wins | 9% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida Atlantic (3‑5) vs Tulsa (2‑6) |
1 | Florida Atlantic Wins | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tulsa Wins | 10% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rice (4‑5) vs UAB (3‑5) |
0 | Rice Wins | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UAB Wins | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Temple (5‑4) vs Black Knights (4‑4) |
0 | Temple Wins | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Black Knights Wins | 9% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||