The Most Important Games for the East Carolina Pirates are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pirates final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. East Carolina Pirates fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
East Carolina Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Temple (5‑6) vs North Texas (10‑1) |
8 | Temple Wins | X | 8% | 22% | 24% | 25% | 21% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 13% | 34% | 31% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Texas Wins | X | <1% | 13% | 36% | 32% | 19% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Memphis (8‑3) vs Navy (8‑2) |
3 | Memphis Wins | X | 3% | 22% | 27% | 28% | 18% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 13% | 34% | 31% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Navy Wins | X | <1% | 5% | 39% | 34% | 22% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Charlotte (1‑10) vs Tulane (9‑2) |
2 | Charlotte Wins | X | 4% | 18% | 23% | 33% | 21% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 13% | 34% | 31% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulane Wins | X | 1% | 13% | 34% | 30% | 21% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Carolina (7‑4) vs Florida Atlantic (4‑7) |
2 | East Carolina Wins | X | 2% | 20% | 47% | 31% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 13% | 34% | 31% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | X | X | X | 8% | 31% | 60% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rice (5‑6) vs South Florida (8‑3) |
1 | Rice Wins | X | 2% | 17% | 58% | 6% | 14% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 13% | 34% | 31% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Florida Wins | X | 1% | 12% | 26% | 39% | 22% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UTSA (6‑5) vs Black Knights (5‑5) |
0 | UTSA Wins | X | 2% | 13% | 32% | 22% | 31% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 13% | 34% | 31% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Black Knights Wins | X | 2% | 13% | 37% | 48% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulsa (4‑7) vs UAB (3‑8) |
0 | Tulsa Wins | X | 2% | 13% | 34% | 31% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 13% | 34% | 31% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UAB Wins | X | 2% | 13% | 34% | 31% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||