The Davidson Wildcats What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Davidson plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 1 | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 1 | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 2 | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Davidson beats La Salle Richmond beats St. Bonaventure Loyola Chicago beats Rhode Island |
Worst Case Scenario La Salle beats Davidson St. Bonaventure beats Richmond Rhode Island beats Loyola Chicago |
||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | ||
| 15 of 15 | 100% | 17 | 1 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 15 | 93% | 16 | 2 | 99% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 15 | 87% | 15 | 3 | 91% | 9% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 15 | 80% | 14 | 4 | 66% | 30% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 15 | 73% | 13 | 5 | 27% | 44% | 24% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 15 | 67% | 12 | 6 | 4% | 21% | 36% | 28% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 15 | 60% | 11 | 7 | <1% | 2% | 11% | 28% | 33% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 15 | 53% | 10 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 31% | 30% | 16% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 15 | 47% | 9 | 9 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 33% | 28% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 15 | 40% | 8 | 10 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 25% | 35% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 15 | 33% | 7 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 35% | 32% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
| 4 of 15 | 27% | 6 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 33% | 38% | 15% | 2% |
| 3 of 15 | 20% | 5 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 36% | 41% | 13% |
| 2 of 15 | 13% | 4 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 13% | 46% | 40% |
| 1 of 15 | 7% | 3 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 25% | 73% |
| 0 of 15 | 0% | 2 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 95% |