The Most Important Games for the George Mason Patriots are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. George Mason Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
George Mason Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| George Mason (17‑1) vs Geo. Washington (12‑6) |
17 | George Mason Wins | 40% | 29% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 29% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Geo. Washington Wins | 26% | 28% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| La Salle (5‑13) vs St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (11‑6) |
2 | La Salle Wins | 38% | 28% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 29% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Wins | 37% | 28% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Joseph's (11‑7) vs VCU (12‑6) |
1 | St. Joseph's Wins | 37% | 29% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 29% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VCU Wins | 37% | 29% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fordham (10‑8) vs Duquesne (9‑8) |
1 | Fordham Wins | 37% | 29% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 29% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Duquesne Wins | 37% | 29% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Richmond (13‑5) vs Saint Louis (16‑1) |
0 | Richmond Wins | 43% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 29% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Saint Louis Wins | 35% | 30% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||