The Most Important Games for the George Mason Patriots are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. George Mason Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
George Mason Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| George Mason (20‑3) vs St. Joseph's (15‑8) |
24 | George Mason Wins | 9% | 51% | 28% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 46% | 28% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Joseph's Wins | 3% | 33% | 29% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VCU (17‑6) vs Dayton (15‑8) |
3 | VCU Wins | 8% | 43% | 32% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 46% | 28% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dayton Wins | 8% | 51% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Richmond (13‑10) vs Rhode Island (13‑9) |
2 | Richmond Wins | 8% | 46% | 29% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 46% | 28% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rhode Island Wins | 8% | 45% | 28% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Geo. Washington (13‑10) vs Duquesne (13‑10) |
2 | Geo. Washington Wins | 8% | 45% | 28% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 46% | 28% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Duquesne Wins | 8% | 45% | 28% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Loyola Chicago (6‑18) vs Davidson (13‑9) |
1 | Loyola Chicago Wins | 8% | 46% | 28% | 11% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 46% | 28% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Davidson Wins | 8% | 46% | 28% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Saint Louis (22‑1) vs La Salle (7‑16) |
1 | Saint Louis Wins | 7% | 46% | 29% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 46% | 28% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| La Salle Wins | 16% | 38% | 27% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fordham (12‑11) vs St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (13‑10) |
0 | Fordham Wins | 8% | 45% | 29% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 46% | 28% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Wins | 8% | 45% | 28% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||