The Most Important Games for the George Mason Patriots are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. George Mason Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
George Mason Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Saint Louis (25‑3) vs Duquesne (16‑12) |
8 | Saint Louis Wins | X | <1% | 5% | 18% | 46% | 18% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 6% | 18% | 43% | 20% | 9% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Duquesne Wins | X | <1% | 5% | 14% | 29% | 34% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Geo. Washington (16‑12) vs Dayton (19‑9) |
8 | Geo. Washington Wins | X | 1% | 10% | 16% | 41% | 20% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 6% | 18% | 43% | 20% | 9% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Dayton Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 19% | 46% | 22% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fordham (16‑12) vs VCU (21‑7) |
3 | Fordham Wins | X | 2% | 8% | 16% | 42% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 6% | 18% | 43% | 20% | 9% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| VCU Wins | X | X | 5% | 18% | 44% | 21% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (14‑13) vs Rhode Island (15‑12) |
0 | St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Wins | X | <1% | 6% | 18% | 45% | 20% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 6% | 18% | 43% | 20% | 9% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rhode Island Wins | X | <1% | 6% | 18% | 42% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Loyola Chicago (6‑22) vs Richmond (15‑13) |
0 | Loyola Chicago Wins | X | <1% | 6% | 18% | 43% | 20% | 9% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 6% | 18% | 43% | 20% | 9% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Richmond Wins | X | <1% | 6% | 18% | 43% | 20% | 9% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||