The Most Important Games for the UMass Minutemen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Minutemen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMass Minutemen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMass Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | |||
| UMass (1‑3) vs St. Joseph's (4‑1) |
12 | UMass Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 19% | ||
| St. Joseph's Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 20% | ||
| George Mason (3‑3) vs Davidson (3‑0) |
3 | George Mason Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 19% | ||
| Davidson Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 20% | ||
| Dayton (5‑0) vs La Salle (4‑1) |
1 | Dayton Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 19% | ||
| La Salle Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 19% | ||
| Saint Louis (2‑1) vs Fordham (3‑2) |
1 | Saint Louis Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 19% | ||
| Fordham Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 20% | ||
| Duquesne (0‑4) vs Rhode Island (4‑0) |
0 | Duquesne Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 19% | ||
| Rhode Island Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 19% | ||
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (5‑0) vs VCU (4‑1) |
0 | St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 19% | ||
| VCU Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 19% | ||
| Geo. Washington (4‑0) vs Richmond (2‑3) |
0 | Geo. Washington Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 19% | ||
| Richmond Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 21% | ||