The Most Important Games for the VCU Rams are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rams final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. VCU Rams fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
VCU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| VCU (12‑6) vs St. Joseph's (11‑7) |
39 | VCU Wins | 3% | 10% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Joseph's Wins | 1% | 5% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Saint Louis (16‑1) vs Richmond (13‑5) |
3 | Saint Louis Wins | 3% | 8% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Richmond Wins | 4% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| George Mason (17‑1) vs Geo. Washington (12‑6) |
2 | George Mason Wins | 2% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Geo. Washington Wins | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Duquesne (9‑8) vs Fordham (10‑8) |
2 | Duquesne Wins | 3% | 9% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fordham Wins | 3% | 9% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (11‑6) vs La Salle (5‑13) |
0 | St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Wins | 3% | 9% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| La Salle Wins | 3% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||