Sun Feb 7 9:15 am

The Most Important Games for the Bentley Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bentley Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Game | Importance Factor (0‑100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Bentley Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||

1* | 2* | 3* | 4* | 5** | 6*** | 7*** | 8*** | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||

Bentley (11‑14‑4) vs Canisius (8‑15‑5) 2 Games Remaining |
29 | Bentley Sweeps 2 Games | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 22% | 68% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |

Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 54% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||

Canisius Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 16% | 50% | 25% | 9% | <1% | ^ | ||

Niagara (5‑20‑3) vs Mercyhurst (14‑13‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
11 | Niagara Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 47% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ |

Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 54% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||

Mercyhurst Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 57% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||

American Int'l (5‑22‑2) vs RIT (12‑11‑5) 2 Games Remaining |
4 | American Int'l Sweeps 2 Games | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 51% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ |

Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 54% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||

RIT Sweeps 2 Games | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 54% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||

Air Force (14‑9‑5) vs Holy Cross (13‑10‑5) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Air Force Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | <1% | 2% | 13% | 51% | 22% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ |

Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 54% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||

Holy Cross Sweeps 2 Games | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 54% | 22% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||

Robert Morris (17‑7‑4) vs Army (8‑11‑7) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Robert Morris Sweeps 2 Games | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 56% | 21% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ^ |

Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 54% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||

Army Sweeps 2 Games | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 42% | 23% | 19% | 3% | <1% | ^ |

Game | Importance Factor (0‑100) |
Game Winner |
Bentley Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||

1* | 2* | 3* | 4* | 5** | 6*** | 7*** | 8*** | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||

Bentley (11‑14‑4) vs Canisius (8‑15‑5) |
15 | Bentley Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 16% | 63% | 14% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ |

Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 54% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||

Canisius Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 42% | 34% | 16% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ||

Niagara (5‑20‑3) vs Mercyhurst (14‑13‑1) |
11 | Niagara Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 47% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ |

Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 54% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||

Mercyhurst Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 57% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||

American Int'l (5‑22‑2) vs RIT (12‑11‑5) |
1 | American Int'l Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 53% | 22% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ |

Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 54% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||

RIT Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 54% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||

Air Force (14‑9‑5) vs Holy Cross (13‑10‑5) |
1 | Air Force Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 53% | 21% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ^ |

Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 54% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||

Holy Cross Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 55% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||

Robert Morris (17‑7‑4) vs Army (8‑11‑7) |
1 | Robert Morris Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 55% | 21% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ^ |

Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 54% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||

Army Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 49% | 21% | 15% | 2% | <1% | ^ |

**Notes**- ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
- X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
- 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
- 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
- * denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
- ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
- *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament