The Most Important Games for the Mercyhurst Lakers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lakers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercyhurst Lakers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8 | 9 | 10 | ||||
| Mercyhurst (0‑14‑1) vs Holy Cross (9‑6‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mercyhurst Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 14% | 82% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 89% | |||
| Holy Cross Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 89% | |||
| Sacred Heart (7‑6‑1) vs Army (4‑8‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Sacred Heart Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 89% | |||
| Army Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% | |||
| Bentley (8‑5‑1) vs Niagara (6‑8) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Bentley Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 88% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 89% | |||
| Niagara Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 89% | |||
| Air Force (8‑6‑2) vs Robert Morris (3‑9‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Air Force Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 88% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 89% | |||
| Robert Morris Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 89% | |||
| RIT (9‑6) vs Canisius (7‑7‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | RIT Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 88% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 89% | |||
| Canisius Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 89% | |||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Mercyhurst (0‑14‑1) vs Holy Cross (9‑6‑1) |
1 | Mercyhurst Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 14% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 89% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 89% | ||
| Air Force (8‑6‑2) vs Robert Morris (3‑9‑2) |
0 | Air Force Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 89% | ||
| Robert Morris Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 89% | ||
| Sacred Heart (7‑6‑1) vs Army (4‑8‑3) |
0 | Sacred Heart Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 89% | ||
| Army Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Bentley (8‑5‑1) vs Niagara (6‑8) |
0 | Bentley Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 89% | ||
| Niagara Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 89% | ||
| RIT (9‑6) vs Canisius (7‑7‑2) |
0 | RIT Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 89% | ||
| Canisius Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 89% | ||