The Most Important Games for the Mercyhurst Lakers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lakers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercyhurst Lakers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| American Int'l (10‑18‑2) vs Sacred Heart (17‑10‑5) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | American Int'l Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% | ||
| Sacred Heart Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% | ||
| Holy Cross (19‑11‑2) vs Bentley (17‑13‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Holy Cross Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% | ||
| Bentley Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% | ||
| Canisius (10‑20‑2) vs Niagara (16‑13‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Canisius Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% | ||
| Niagara Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% | ||
| Robert Morris (10‑18‑4) vs Air Force (13‑19‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Robert Morris Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% | ||
| Air Force Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% | ||
| Mercyhurst (4‑24‑4) vs RIT (8‑22‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mercyhurst Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% | ||
| RIT Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| American Int'l (10‑18‑2) vs Sacred Heart (17‑10‑5) |
0 | American Int'l Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% | ||
| Holy Cross (19‑11‑2) vs Bentley (17‑13‑2) |
0 | Holy Cross Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% | ||
| Bentley Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% | ||
| Canisius (10‑20‑2) vs Niagara (16‑13‑3) |
0 | Canisius Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% | ||
| Niagara Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% | ||
| Robert Morris (10‑18‑4) vs Air Force (13‑19‑2) |
0 | Robert Morris Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% | ||
| Air Force Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% | ||
| Mercyhurst (4‑24‑4) vs RIT (8‑22‑2) |
0 | Mercyhurst Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 37% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 86% | ||
| RIT Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||