The Most Important Games for the Mercyhurst Lakers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lakers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercyhurst Lakers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | ||||
| Mercyhurst (4‑22‑2) vs Air Force (14‑12‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Mercyhurst Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 24% | 66% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 92% | |||
| Air Force Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 4% | 96% | |||
| Bentley (15‑8‑5) vs Army (11‑13‑5) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Bentley Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 91% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 92% | |||
| Army Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% | |||
| RIT (16‑12‑2) vs Niagara (9‑17‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | RIT Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 91% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 92% | |||
| Niagara Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% | |||
| Canisius (14‑12‑2) vs Holy Cross (13‑13‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Canisius Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 92% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 92% | |||
| Holy Cross Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 92% | |||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | |||
| Mercyhurst (4‑22‑2) vs Air Force (14‑12‑2) |
1 | Mercyhurst Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Air Force Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 5% | 94% | ||
| Bentley (15‑8‑5) vs Army (11‑13‑5) |
0 | Bentley Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Army Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% | ||
| RIT (16‑12‑2) vs Niagara (9‑17‑1) |
0 | RIT Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Niagara Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% | ||
| Holy Cross (13‑13‑2) vs Canisius (14‑12‑2) |
0 | Holy Cross Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Canisius Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 92% | ||