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Mon Feb 17 7:15 pm

Atlantic Hockey - Week 21 of 22

Niagara Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Niagara Purple Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Purple Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Niagara Purple Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Niagara Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Niagara Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Niagara
(16‑13‑3)

vs
Canisius
(10‑20‑2)

1 Game Remaining
1 Niagara Sweeps 1 Game X 31% 55% 14% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 19% 47% 30% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Canisius Sweeps 1 Game X X 38% 53% 9% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
American Int'l
(10‑18‑2)

vs
Sacred Heart
(17‑10‑5)

1 Game Remaining
0 American Int'l Sweeps 1 Game X 36% 41% 19% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 19% 47% 30% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Sacred Heart Sweeps 1 Game X 10% 49% 37% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Holy Cross
(19‑11‑2)

vs
Bentley
(17‑13‑2)

1 Game Remaining
0 Holy Cross Sweeps 1 Game X 26% 49% 21% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 19% 47% 30% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Bentley Sweeps 1 Game X 9% 40% 47% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Robert Morris
(10‑18‑4)

vs
Air Force
(13‑19‑2)

2 Games Remaining
0 Robert Morris Sweeps 2 Games X 19% 47% 30% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 19% 47% 30% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Air Force Sweeps 2 Games X 19% 47% 30% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
RIT
(8‑22‑2)

vs
Mercyhurst
(4‑24‑4)

2 Games Remaining
0 RIT Sweeps 2 Games X 19% 47% 30% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 19% 47% 30% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Mercyhurst Sweeps 2 Games X 19% 47% 30% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^


Niagara Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Niagara Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Niagara
(16‑13‑3)

vs
Canisius
(10‑20‑2)
1 Niagara Wins X 31% 55% 14% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 19% 47% 30% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Canisius Wins X X 38% 53% 9% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
American Int'l
(10‑18‑2)

vs
Sacred Heart
(17‑10‑5)
0 American Int'l Wins X 36% 41% 19% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 19% 47% 30% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Sacred Heart Wins X 10% 49% 37% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Holy Cross
(19‑11‑2)

vs
Bentley
(17‑13‑2)
0 Holy Cross Wins X 26% 49% 21% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 19% 47% 30% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Bentley Wins X 9% 40% 47% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Robert Morris
(10‑18‑4)

vs
Air Force
(13‑19‑2)
0 Robert Morris Wins X 19% 47% 30% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 19% 47% 30% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Air Force Wins X 19% 47% 30% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
RIT
(8‑22‑2)

vs
Mercyhurst
(4‑24‑4)
0 RIT Wins X 19% 47% 30% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 19% 47% 30% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Mercyhurst Wins X 19% 47% 30% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament