The Most Important Games for the Niagara Purple Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Purple Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Niagara Purple Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Niagara Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | ||||
| Niagara (9‑17‑1) vs RIT (16‑12‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
11 | Niagara Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 57% | 24% | 1% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 48% | 37% | 4% | |||
| RIT Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 46% | 41% | 5% | |||
| Bentley (15‑8‑5) vs Army (11‑13‑5) 1 Game Remaining |
5 | Bentley Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 55% | 30% | 4% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 48% | 37% | 4% | |||
| Army Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | 50% | 5% | |||
| Mercyhurst (4‑22‑2) vs Air Force (14‑12‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Mercyhurst Sweeps 2 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 44% | 28% | 15% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 48% | 37% | 4% | |||
| Air Force Sweeps 2 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 49% | 39% | 2% | |||
| Holy Cross (13‑13‑2) vs Canisius (14‑12‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Holy Cross Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 43% | 36% | 4% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 48% | 37% | 4% | |||
| Canisius Sweeps 2 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 53% | 37% | 4% | |||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Niagara Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | |||
| Niagara (9‑17‑1) vs RIT (16‑12‑2) |
11 | Niagara Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 57% | 24% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 48% | 37% | 4% | ||
| RIT Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 46% | 41% | 5% | ||
| Bentley (15‑8‑5) vs Army (11‑13‑5) |
5 | Bentley Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 55% | 30% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 48% | 37% | 4% | ||
| Army Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | 50% | 5% | ||
| Holy Cross (13‑13‑2) vs Canisius (14‑12‑2) |
1 | Holy Cross Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 46% | 37% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 48% | 37% | 4% | ||
| Canisius Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 51% | 37% | 4% | ||
| Mercyhurst (4‑22‑2) vs Air Force (14‑12‑2) |
1 | Mercyhurst Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 47% | 33% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 48% | 37% | 4% | ||
| Air Force Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 49% | 38% | 3% | ||