PlayoffStatus.com

Wed Jan 18 5:00 am

Atlantic Hockey - Week 17 of 22

RIT What If?

The RIT Tigers What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how RIT plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

RIT What If?

Next Game - Canisius (8‑10‑5)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L T PTS 1* 2* 3* 4* 5** 6*** 7*** 8*** 9 10 11
Win Next Game 11 7 0 22 3% 7% 12% 19% 25% 19% 10% 5% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 10 7 0 20 2% 5% 10% 16% 24% 20% 13% 7% 2% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 10 8 0 20 1% 3% 7% 13% 25% 23% 16% 9% 2% <1% <1%


Current Series - Canisius (8‑10‑5) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L T PTS 1* 2* 3* 4* 5** 6*** 7*** 8*** 9 10 11
RIT Sweeps 11 7 0 22 3% 7% 12% 19% 25% 19% 10% 5% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 10 7 0 20 2% 5% 10% 16% 24% 20% 13% 7% 2% <1% <1%
Canisius Sweeps 10 8 0 20 1% 3% 7% 13% 25% 23% 16% 9% 2% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1* 2* 3* 4* 5** 6*** 7*** 8*** 9 10 11
Best Case Scenario 3% 7% 12% 19% 25% 19% 10% 5% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 2% 5% 10% 16% 24% 20% 13% 7% 2% <1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 3% 7% 13% 25% 23% 16% 9% 2% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   RIT beats Canisius
Worst Case Scenario
   Canisius beats RIT
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L T Pts 1* 2* 3* 4* 5** 6*** 7*** 8*** 9 10 11
11 of 11 100% 21 7 0 42 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 of 11 91% 20 8 0 40 82% 18% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 11 82% 19 9 0 38 42% 48% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 of 11 73% 18 10 0 36 9% 40% 39% 11% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 11 64% 17 11 0 34 1% 11% 38% 40% 11% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 11 55% 16 12 0 32 <1% 1% 11% 43% 40% 5% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
5 of 11 45% 15 13 0 30 <1% <1% 1% 14% 52% 31% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^
4 of 11 36% 14 14 0 28 X <1% <1% 1% 23% 53% 22% 2% <1% <1% ^
3 of 11 27% 13 15 0 26 X X <1% <1% 3% 31% 49% 17% 1% <1% <1%
2 of 11 18% 12 16 0 24 X X X <1% <1% 5% 37% 48% 10% 1% <1%
1 of 11 9% 11 17 0 22 X X X X X <1% 7% 50% 35% 7% <1%
0 of 11 0% 10 18 0 20 X X X X X X <1% 22% 48% 29% 1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • New Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament