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Thu Jan 15 10:45 pm

Atlantic Sun Basketball - Week 11 of 17

Austin Peay Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Austin Peay Governors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Governors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Austin Peay Governors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Austin Peay Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Austin Peay Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7***
First Round Home Court
Advantage
8***
First Round Home Court
Advantage
9 10 NT
Austin Peay
(11‑5)

vs
Lipscomb
(11‑7)
21 Austin Peay Wins 48% 27% 14% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 38% 26% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Lipscomb Wins 28% 27% 21% 11% 7% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Fla Gulf Coast
(7‑11)

vs
West Georgia
(9‑8)
2 Fla Gulf Coast Wins 38% 26% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 38% 26% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
West Georgia Wins 37% 25% 17% 10% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
North Florida
(3‑15)

vs
Central Arkansas
(8‑10)
1 North Florida Wins 38% 26% 17% 9% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 38% 26% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Central Arkansas Wins 37% 26% 17% 10% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
North Alabama
(6‑10)

vs
JacksonvilleJack.ville
(6‑12)
1 North Alabama Wins 38% 26% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 38% 26% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins 38% 25% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Eastern Kentucky
(6‑12)

vs
Bellarmine
(6‑11)
1 Eastern Kentucky Wins 38% 26% 17% 10% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 38% 26% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Bellarmine Wins 38% 25% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Stetson
(7‑11)

vs
Queens U.
(10‑8)
0 Stetson Wins 41% 24% 16% 9% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 38% 26% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Queens U. Wins 36% 26% 18% 10% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes 1st round bye and 2nd round home court advantage in the conference tournament
  • ** denotes 1st round bye in the conference tournament
  • ** denotes 1st round home court advantage in the conference tournament