The Most Important Games for the Central Arkansas Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Central Arkansas Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Central Arkansas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Central Arkansas (1‑4) vs Eastern Kentucky (3‑1) |
17 | Central Arkansas Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 32% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 34% | ||
| Austin Peay (3‑2) vs North Florida (4‑2) |
2 | Austin Peay Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 32% | ||
| North Florida Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 33% | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville (3‑2) vs Lipscomb (2‑4) |
1 | JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 32% | ||
| Lipscomb Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 33% | ||
| North Alabama (3‑2) vs Bellarmine (0‑5) |
1 | North Alabama Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 32% | ||
| Bellarmine Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 33% | ||
| Queens U. (2‑3) vs Stetson (1‑5) |
1 | Queens U. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 32% | ||
| Stetson Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 33% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast (1‑4) vs West Georgia (0‑5) |
1 | Fla Gulf Coast Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 32% | ||
| West Georgia Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 33% | ||