The Most Important Games for the Central Arkansas Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Central Arkansas Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Central Arkansas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Central Arkansas (7‑8) vs Bellarmine (5‑9) |
34 | Central Arkansas Wins | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Bellarmine Wins | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Austin Peay (8‑5) vs Fla Gulf Coast (7‑8) |
3 | Austin Peay Wins | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast Wins | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville (5‑10) vs Queens U. (7‑8) |
2 | JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Queens U. Wins | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| North Florida (2‑13) vs West Georgia (8‑6) |
2 | North Florida Wins | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| West Georgia Wins | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Stetson (5‑10) vs Lipscomb (9‑6) |
1 | Stetson Wins | 12% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Lipscomb Wins | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| North Alabama (5‑8) vs Eastern Kentucky (4‑11) |
1 | North Alabama Wins | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky Wins | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||