The Most Important Games for the Central Arkansas Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Central Arkansas Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Central Arkansas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
8*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Central Arkansas (9‑10) vs West Georgia (9‑9) |
45 | Central Arkansas Wins | 4% | 9% | 16% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| West Georgia Wins | 2% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Lipscomb (12‑7) vs Stetson (7‑12) |
3 | Lipscomb Wins | 3% | 7% | 12% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Stetson Wins | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| North Florida (3‑16) vs Eastern Kentucky (7‑12) |
3 | North Florida Wins | 3% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky Wins | 3% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Austin Peay (11‑6) vs Fla Gulf Coast (8‑11) |
2 | Austin Peay Wins | 3% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast Wins | 3% | 7% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| North Alabama (6‑11) vs Queens U. (11‑8) |
2 | North Alabama Wins | 4% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Queens U. Wins | 3% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Bellarmine (6‑12) vs JacksonvilleJack.ville (7‑12) |
0 | Bellarmine Wins | 3% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | 3% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||