The Most Important Games for the Central Arkansas Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Central Arkansas Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Central Arkansas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Queens U. (17‑12) vs West Georgia (5‑24) |
23 | Queens U. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 99% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 94% | 6% | ||
| West Georgia Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 77% | 23% | ||
| Central Arkansas (8‑21) vs North Alabama (20‑9) |
7 | Central Arkansas Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 97% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 94% | 6% | ||
| North Alabama Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 93% | 7% | ||
| Stetson (7‑22) vs Bellarmine (5‑24) |
0 | Stetson Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 94% | 6% | ||
| Bellarmine Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 92% | 6% | ||
| Austin Peay (13‑16) vs Lipscomb (20‑9) |
0 | Austin Peay Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 94% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 94% | 6% | ||
| Lipscomb Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 94% | 6% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast (16‑13) vs North Florida (15‑14) |
0 | Fla Gulf Coast Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 94% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 94% | 6% | ||
| North Florida Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 94% | 6% | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville (16‑12) vs Eastern Kentucky (17‑12) |
0 | JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 94% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 94% | 6% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 94% | 6% | ||