The Most Important Games for the Jacksonville Dolphins are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Dolphins final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Jacksonville Dolphins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Jacksonville Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| North Florida (6‑21) vs Austin Peay (19‑6) |
0 | North Florida Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 23% | 27% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 28% | 19% | <1% | ||
| Austin Peay Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 29% | 17% | <1% | ||
| West Georgia (12‑15) vs Queens U. (16‑12) |
0 | West Georgia Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 7% | 19% | 22% | 31% | 19% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 28% | 19% | <1% | ||
| Queens U. Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 28% | 19% | <1% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky (10‑18) vs Bellarmine (11‑16) |
0 | Eastern Kentucky Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 36% | 21% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 28% | 19% | <1% | ||
| Bellarmine Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 13% | 22% | 23% | 24% | 17% | <1% | ||
| North Alabama (8‑18) vs Lipscomb (17‑11) |
0 | North Alabama Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 21% | 28% | 17% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 28% | 19% | <1% | ||
| Lipscomb Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 12% | 18% | 20% | 28% | 19% | ^ | ||
| Stetson (9‑18) vs Central Arkansas (17‑10) |
0 | Stetson Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 21% | 29% | 21% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 28% | 19% | <1% | ||
| Central Arkansas Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 12% | 18% | 20% | 28% | 18% | <1% | ||