The Most Important Games for the Jacksonville Dolphins are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Dolphins final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Jacksonville Dolphins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Jacksonville Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville (9‑7) vs North Alabama (11‑6) |
7 | JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | 18% | 22% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Alabama Wins | 8% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Queens U. (11‑6) vs Stetson (4‑13) |
1 | Queens U. Wins | 14% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stetson Wins | 16% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Central Arkansas (5‑12) vs North Florida (8‑9) |
1 | Central Arkansas Wins | 14% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Florida Wins | 15% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bellarmine (3‑14) vs Lipscomb (11‑6) |
1 | Bellarmine Wins | 17% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lipscomb Wins | 14% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| West Georgia (3‑14) vs Fla Gulf Coast (8‑9) |
0 | West Georgia Wins | 14% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast Wins | 14% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Austin Peay (6‑11) vs Eastern Kentucky (8‑9) |
0 | Austin Peay Wins | 14% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky Wins | 14% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||