The Most Important Games for the Jacksonville Dolphins are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Dolphins final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Jacksonville Dolphins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Jacksonville Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Fla Gulf Coast (16‑13) vs North Florida (15‑14) |
3 | Fla Gulf Coast Wins | X | <1% | 5% | 44% | 33% | 18% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 9% | 38% | 34% | 17% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Florida Wins | <1% | <1% | 15% | 29% | 36% | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville (16‑12) vs Eastern Kentucky (17‑12) |
3 | JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | <1% | <1% | 17% | 68% | 12% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 9% | 38% | 34% | 17% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Eastern Kentucky Wins | X | X | X | X | 62% | 35% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| West Georgia (5‑24) vs Queens U. (17‑12) |
1 | West Georgia Wins | <1% | <1% | 7% | 40% | 49% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 9% | 38% | 34% | 17% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Queens U. Wins | <1% | <1% | 9% | 38% | 30% | 21% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Alabama (20‑9) vs Central Arkansas (8‑21) |
0 | North Alabama Wins | X | <1% | 8% | 40% | 34% | 17% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 9% | 38% | 34% | 17% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Central Arkansas Wins | <1% | 1% | 14% | 32% | 34% | 17% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Austin Peay (13‑16) vs Lipscomb (20‑9) |
0 | Austin Peay Wins | <1% | <1% | 9% | 37% | 36% | 17% | <1% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 9% | 38% | 34% | 17% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lipscomb Wins | X | <1% | 9% | 39% | 34% | 17% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stetson (7‑22) vs Bellarmine (5‑24) |
0 | Stetson Wins | <1% | <1% | 9% | 38% | 34% | 17% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 9% | 38% | 34% | 17% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bellarmine Wins | <1% | <1% | 9% | 38% | 34% | 17% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||