The Most Important Games for the North Alabama Lions are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lions final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Alabama Lions fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Alabama Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
8*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
9 | 10 | NT | |||
| North Alabama (6‑11) vs Queens U. (11‑8) |
24 | North Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 59% | ||
| Queens U. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 61% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky (7‑12) vs North Florida (3‑16) |
2 | Eastern Kentucky Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 18% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 59% | ||
| North Florida Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 60% | ||
| Austin Peay (11‑6) vs Fla Gulf Coast (8‑11) |
2 | Austin Peay Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 59% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 60% | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville (7‑12) vs Bellarmine (6‑12) |
1 | JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 18% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 59% | ||
| Bellarmine Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 60% | ||
| Central Arkansas (9‑10) vs West Georgia (9‑9) |
1 | Central Arkansas Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 59% | ||
| West Georgia Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 59% | ||
| Lipscomb (12‑7) vs Stetson (7‑12) |
1 | Lipscomb Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 59% | ||
| Stetson Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 59% | ||