The Most Important Games for the North Florida Ospreys are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ospreys final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Florida Ospreys fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Florida Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| North Florida (2‑6) vs Austin Peay (4‑4) |
29 | North Florida Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 42% | ||
| Austin Peay Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 45% | ||
| North Alabama (5‑4) vs Stetson (3‑8) |
3 | North Alabama Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 42% | ||
| Stetson Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 44% | ||
| Bellarmine (4‑5) vs West Georgia (5‑4) |
1 | Bellarmine Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 42% | ||
| West Georgia Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 43% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast (5‑4) vs Central Arkansas (4‑5) |
0 | Fla Gulf Coast Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 42% | ||
| Central Arkansas Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 43% | ||
| Queens U. (4‑5) vs Eastern Kentucky (2‑7) |
0 | Queens U. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 42% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 43% | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville (4‑5) vs Lipscomb (5‑4) |
0 | JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 42% | ||
| Lipscomb Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 43% | ||