The Most Important Games for the North Florida Ospreys are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ospreys final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Florida Ospreys fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Florida Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| North Florida (6‑18) vs Queens U. (13‑11) |
1 | North Florida Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 23% | 7% | ||
| Queens U. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 25% | 9% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky (8‑16) vs Stetson (8‑16) |
0 | Eastern Kentucky Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 25% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 23% | 7% | ||
| Stetson Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 7% | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville (9‑15) vs West Georgia (10‑13) |
0 | JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 22% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 23% | 7% | ||
| West Georgia Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 24% | 8% | ||
| Austin Peay (16‑6) vs North Alabama (7‑14) |
0 | Austin Peay Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 24% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 23% | 7% | ||
| North Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 13% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast (10‑14) vs Bellarmine (10‑13) |
0 | Fla Gulf Coast Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 23% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 23% | 7% | ||
| Bellarmine Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 24% | 8% | ||
| Central Arkansas (13‑10) vs Lipscomb (15‑9) |
0 | Central Arkansas Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 23% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 23% | 7% | ||
| Lipscomb Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 24% | 7% | ||