The Most Important Games for the North Florida Ospreys are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ospreys final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Florida Ospreys fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Florida Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| North Florida (4‑2) vs Austin Peay (3‑2) |
8 | North Florida Wins | 23% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Austin Peay Wins | 11% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky (3‑1) vs Central Arkansas (1‑4) |
1 | Eastern Kentucky Wins | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Central Arkansas Wins | 20% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast (1‑4) vs West Georgia (0‑5) |
0 | Fla Gulf Coast Wins | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| West Georgia Wins | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville (3‑2) vs Lipscomb (2‑4) |
0 | JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Lipscomb Wins | 20% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Queens U. (2‑3) vs Stetson (1‑5) |
0 | Queens U. Wins | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Stetson Wins | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| North Alabama (3‑2) vs Bellarmine (0‑5) |
0 | North Alabama Wins | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Bellarmine Wins | 20% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||