The Most Important Games for the North Florida Ospreys are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ospreys final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Florida Ospreys fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Florida Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville (10‑19) vs Stetson (10‑19) |
0 | JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 4% | 78% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 10% | 69% | 12% | ||
| Stetson Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 12% | 18% | 58% | 12% | ||
| North Florida (6‑23) vs Fla Gulf Coast (14‑15) |
0 | North Florida Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 23% | 12% | 65% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 10% | 69% | 12% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 10% | 72% | 18% | ||
| North Alabama (9‑19) vs West Georgia (13‑16) |
0 | North Alabama Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 10% | 45% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 10% | 69% | 12% | ||
| West Georgia Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 11% | 81% | ^ | ||
| Austin Peay (21‑7) vs Bellarmine (11‑18) |
0 | Austin Peay Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 11% | 9% | 68% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 10% | 69% | 12% | ||
| Bellarmine Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 16% | 72% | 12% | ||
| Central Arkansas (19‑11) vs Queens U. (18‑12) |
0 | Central Arkansas Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 10% | 69% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 10% | 69% | 12% | ||
| Queens U. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 10% | 69% | 12% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky (11‑19) vs Lipscomb (18‑12) |
0 | Eastern Kentucky Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 10% | 69% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 10% | 69% | 12% | ||
| Lipscomb Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 10% | 69% | 12% | ||