The Most Important Games for the North Florida Ospreys are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ospreys final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Florida Ospreys fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Florida Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| West Georgia (5‑24) vs Queens U. (17‑12) |
10 | West Georgia Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 11% | 19% | 69% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 24% | 72% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Queens U. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 25% | 73% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Florida (15‑14) vs Fla Gulf Coast (16‑13) |
9 | North Florida Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 9% | 43% | 48% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 24% | 72% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 11% | 89% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Eastern Kentucky (17‑12) vs JacksonvilleJack.ville (16‑12) |
3 | Eastern Kentucky Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 23% | 72% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 24% | 72% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 25% | 72% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lipscomb (20‑9) vs Austin Peay (13‑16) |
2 | Lipscomb Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 33% | 63% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 24% | 72% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Austin Peay Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stetson (7‑22) vs Bellarmine (5‑24) |
0 | Stetson Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 24% | 72% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 24% | 72% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bellarmine Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 24% | 72% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Central Arkansas (8‑21) vs North Alabama (20‑9) |
0 | Central Arkansas Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 24% | 72% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 24% | 72% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Alabama Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 24% | 72% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||