The Michigan Wolverines What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Michigan plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 0 | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 0 | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 1 | 4% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | ||
| 9 of 9 | 100% | 9 | 0 | 92% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 9 | 89% | 8 | 1 | 52% | 35% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 9 | 78% | 7 | 2 | 5% | 22% | 35% | 25% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 9 | 67% | 6 | 3 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 30% | 29% | 16% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 9 | 56% | 5 | 4 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 23% | 31% | 23% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 9 | 44% | 4 | 5 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 26% | 28% | 19% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 20% | 29% | 24% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 2 of 9 | 22% | 2 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 28% | 30% | 17% | 3% |
| 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 36% | 43% |
| 0 of 9 | 0% | 0 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 10% | 90% |