The Most Important Games for the Penn St. Nittany Lions are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nittany Lions final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Penn St. Nittany Lions fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Penn St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Penn St. (3‑2) vs USC (5‑1) |
1 | Penn St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| USC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Maryland (2‑3) vs Ohio St. (4‑1) |
0 | Maryland Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Illinois (2‑3) vs Michigan St. (2‑3) |
0 | Illinois Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Washington (3‑2) vs Iowa (4‑1) |
0 | Washington Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Iowa Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Oregon (3‑1) vs UCLA (4‑0) |
0 | Oregon Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| UCLA Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Indiana (5‑0) vs Nebraska (5‑0) |
0 | Indiana Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Purdue (2‑3) vs Minnesota (4‑1) |
0 | Purdue Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||