The Most Important Games for the Penn St. Nittany Lions are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nittany Lions final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Penn St. Nittany Lions fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Penn St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Oregon (8‑1) vs Minnesota (6‑3) |
0 | Oregon Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 24% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 24% | 21% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 24% | 21% | ||
| Indiana (10‑0) vs Wisconsin (3‑6) |
0 | Indiana Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 20% | 25% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 24% | 21% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 27% | 27% | 21% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (5‑4) vs Michigan (7‑2) |
0 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 25% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 24% | 21% | ||
| Michigan Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 24% | 22% | ||
| Illinois (6‑3) vs Maryland (4‑5) |
0 | Illinois Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 21% | 24% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 24% | 21% | ||
| Maryland Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 20% | 30% | 22% | ||
| Penn St. (3‑6) vs Michigan St. (3‑6) |
0 | Penn St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 15% | 20% | 21% | 31% | 10% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 24% | 21% | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 37% | 35% | ||
| USC (7‑2) vs Iowa (6‑3) |
0 | USC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 24% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 24% | 21% | ||
| Iowa Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 24% | 21% | ||
| Washington (6‑3) vs Purdue (2‑8) |
0 | Washington Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 22% | 27% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 24% | 21% | ||
| Purdue Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Ohio St. (9‑0) vs UCLA (3‑6) |
0 | Ohio St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 21% | 24% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 24% | 21% | ||
| UCLA Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 25% | 22% | ||