The Most Important Games for the Penn St. Nittany Lions are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nittany Lions final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Penn St. Nittany Lions fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Penn St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Penn St. (3‑1) vs UCLA (0‑4) |
3 | Penn St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | ||
| UCLA Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 12% | ||
| Wisconsin (2‑2) vs Michigan (3‑1) |
1 | Wisconsin Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Michigan Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Purdue (2‑2) vs Illinois (4‑1) |
0 | Purdue Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Illinois Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | ||
| Michigan St. (3‑1) vs Nebraska (3‑1) |
0 | Michigan St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Minnesota (3‑1) vs Ohio St. (4‑0) |
0 | Minnesota Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Maryland (4‑0) vs Washington (3‑1) |
0 | Maryland Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Washington Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | ||