The Most Important Games for the Penn St. Nittany Lions are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nittany Lions final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Penn St. Nittany Lions fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Penn St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Indiana (7‑0) vs UCLA (3‑4) |
0 | Indiana Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 21% | ||
| UCLA Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Iowa (5‑2) vs Minnesota (5‑2) |
0 | Iowa Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 21% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Michigan St. (3‑4) vs Michigan (5‑2) |
0 | Michigan St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 21% | ||
| Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 22% | ||
| Nebraska (5‑2) vs NorthwesternN. Western (5‑2) |
0 | Nebraska Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 21% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Oregon (6‑1) vs Wisconsin (2‑5) |
0 | Oregon Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 21% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 21% | 29% | ||
| Washington (5‑2) vs Illinois (5‑2) |
0 | Washington Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 21% | ||
| Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Purdue (2‑5) vs Rutgers (3‑4) |
0 | Purdue Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 19% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 21% | ||
| Rutgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 19% | ||