The Most Important Games for the Baylor Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Baylor Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Baylor Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Cincinnati (15‑13) vs Oklahoma St. (17‑11) |
0 | Cincinnati Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 17% | 30% | 31% | 14% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 40% | 14% | 3% | ||
| Oklahoma St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 52% | 14% | 3% | ||
| Utah (10‑18) vs Arizona St. (14‑14) |
0 | Utah Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 21% | 32% | 16% | 21% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 40% | 14% | 3% | ||
| Arizona St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 21% | 51% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Kansas St. (11‑17) vs TCU (18‑10) |
0 | Kansas St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 13% | 24% | 37% | 14% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 40% | 14% | 3% | ||
| TCU Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 25% | 42% | 14% | 1% | ||
| Houston (23‑5) vs Colorado (16‑12) |
0 | Houston Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 24% | 40% | 14% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 40% | 14% | 3% | ||
| Colorado Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 26% | 41% | 14% | 3% | ||
| West Virginia (16‑12) vs BYU (20‑8) |
0 | West Virginia Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 40% | 14% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 40% | 14% | 3% | ||
| BYU Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 24% | 40% | 14% | 3% | ||
| Arizona (26‑2) vs Kansas (21‑7) |
0 | Arizona Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 40% | 14% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 40% | 14% | 3% | ||
| Kansas Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 40% | 14% | 3% | ||
| Iowa St. (24‑4) vs Texas Tech (21‑7) |
0 | Iowa St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 40% | 14% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 40% | 14% | 3% | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 40% | 14% | 3% | ||
| Baylor (14‑14) vs UCF (20‑7) |
0 | Baylor Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 14% | 32% | 29% | 22% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 13% | 25% | 40% | 14% | 3% | ||
| UCF Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 8% | 23% | 46% | 17% | 4% | ||