The Most Important Games for the BYU Cougars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cougars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. BYU Cougars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
BYU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| BYU (18‑8) vs Arizona (18‑7) |
37 | BYU Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 42% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 32% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arizona Wins | X | X | <1% | 6% | 26% | 23% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Houston (22‑4) vs Iowa St. (20‑5) |
12 | Houston Wins | X | <1% | 2% | 11% | 30% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 32% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iowa St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 36% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Cincinnati (15‑11) vs TCU (15‑11) |
5 | Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 38% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 32% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| TCU Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 27% | 25% | 16% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UCF (13‑13) vs Utah (15‑11) |
4 | UCF Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 32% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Utah Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 31% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma St. (13‑13) vs Kansas (17‑9) |
2 | Oklahoma St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 34% | 25% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 32% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kansas Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 31% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colorado (10‑15) vs Baylor (16‑10) |
1 | Colorado Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 34% | 22% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 32% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Baylor Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 30% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arizona St. (12‑14) vs Kansas St. (13‑13) |
1 | Arizona St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 32% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 32% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kansas St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 32% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| West Virginia (15‑10) vs Texas Tech (20‑6) |
0 | West Virginia Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 29% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 32% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 33% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||