The Most Important Games for the Cincinnati Bearcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bearcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cincinnati Bearcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cincinnati Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Cincinnati (12‑12) vs Kansas St. (10‑13) |
7 | Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Kansas St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 15% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Oklahoma St. (16‑8) vs TCU (15‑9) |
0 | Oklahoma St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| TCU Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 1% | ||
| UCF (17‑6) vs West Virginia (15‑9) |
0 | UCF Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| West Virginia Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Iowa St. (21‑3) vs Kansas (19‑5) |
0 | Iowa St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Kansas Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Colorado (14‑10) vs Texas Tech (17‑6) |
0 | Colorado Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 13% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 1% | ||