The Most Important Games for the TCU Horned Frogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Horned Frogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. TCU Horned Frogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
TCU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| TCU (15‑11) vs Cincinnati (15‑11) |
26 | TCU Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 29% | 23% | 17% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Cincinnati Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UCF (13‑13) vs Utah (15‑11) |
6 | UCF Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 22% | 20% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Utah Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Colorado (10‑15) vs Baylor (16‑10) |
4 | Colorado Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Baylor Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Arizona (18‑7) vs BYU (18‑8) |
3 | Arizona Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 23% | 19% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| BYU Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma St. (13‑13) vs Kansas (17‑9) |
3 | Oklahoma St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Kansas Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Texas Tech (20‑6) vs West Virginia (15‑10) |
3 | Texas Tech Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 22% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| West Virginia Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Arizona St. (12‑14) vs Kansas St. (13‑13) |
2 | Arizona St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Kansas St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Houston (22‑4) vs Iowa St. (20‑5) |
2 | Houston Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Iowa St. Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||