The Most Important Games for the TCU Horned Frogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Horned Frogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. TCU Horned Frogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
TCU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Utah (9‑16) vs West Virginia (16‑9) |
7 | Utah Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 23% | 25% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 19% | 29% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| West Virginia Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 18% | 29% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Baylor (13‑13) vs Arizona St. (14‑12) |
3 | Baylor Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 21% | 31% | 19% | 11% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 19% | 29% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 19% | 27% | 22% | 14% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona (23‑2) vs BYU (19‑6) |
3 | Arizona Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 19% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 19% | 29% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| BYU Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 20% | 30% | 22% | 12% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kansas St. (11‑15) vs Texas Tech (19‑7) |
1 | Kansas St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 18% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 19% | 29% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 19% | 29% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oklahoma St. (16‑9) vs Kansas (19‑6) |
1 | Oklahoma St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 19% | 28% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 19% | 29% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kansas Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 19% | 29% | 22% | 12% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||