The Most Important Games for the TCU Horned Frogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Horned Frogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. TCU Horned Frogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
TCU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| TCU (9‑6) vs Utah (9‑6) |
16 | TCU Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Utah Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 6% | ||
| West Virginia (11‑3) vs Houston (12‑3) |
2 | West Virginia Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Houston Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Texas Tech (11‑4) vs Kansas St. (7‑8) |
1 | Texas Tech Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Kansas St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Oklahoma St. (9‑6) vs BYU (10‑5) |
1 | Oklahoma St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | ||
| BYU Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Iowa St. (13‑1) vs Kansas (12‑3) |
0 | Iowa St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Kansas Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Arizona (10‑4) vs Baylor (11‑4) |
0 | Arizona Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Baylor Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 3% | ||
| UCF (11‑4) vs Arizona St. (10‑5) |
0 | UCF Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Arizona St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Cincinnati (10‑5) vs Colorado (9‑5) |
0 | Cincinnati Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Colorado Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | ||