The Most Important Games for the TCU Horned Frogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Horned Frogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. TCU Horned Frogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
TCU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| TCU (9‑3) vs Baylor (9‑2) |
19 | TCU Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Baylor Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 11% | ||
| West Virginia (9‑4) vs Iowa St. (12‑0) |
1 | West Virginia Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Iowa St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Utah (8‑4) vs Arizona (11‑0) |
1 | Utah Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Arizona Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Oklahoma St. (10‑1) vs Texas Tech (9‑3) |
1 | Oklahoma St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Cincinnati (7‑5) vs Houston (11‑1) |
1 | Cincinnati Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Houston Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Kansas (10‑3) vs UCF (11‑1) |
0 | Kansas Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 9% | ||
| UCF Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Colorado (10‑1) vs Arizona St. (8‑4) |
0 | Colorado Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Arizona St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| BYU (12‑1) vs Kansas St. (8‑4) |
0 | BYU Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Kansas St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 9% | ||