The West Virginia Mountaineers What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how West Virginia plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
| Win Next Game | 8 | 8 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 7 | 8 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 7 | 9 | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 18% | 23% | 26% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 16% | 26% | 29% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario West Virginia beats Texas Tech Oklahoma St. beats Kansas Arizona St. beats Kansas St. |
Worst Case Scenario Texas Tech beats West Virginia Kansas beats Oklahoma St. Kansas St. beats Arizona St. |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 12 | 8 | X | <1% | 1% | 13% | 52% | 25% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 11 | 9 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 26% | 35% | 22% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 10 | 10 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 11% | 29% | 35% | 20% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 9 | 11 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 21% | 41% | 33% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 8 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 57% | 25% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 7 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 19% | 39% | 34% | 8% | <1% | ^ |