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Sun Oct 11 10:30 am

Big 12 Football - Week 7 of 13

Baylor Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Baylor Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Baylor Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Baylor Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Baylor Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Baylor
(4‑1)

vs
TCU
(2‑3)
12 Baylor Wins 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 10% 9% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
TCU Wins 4% 6% 8% 8% 9% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 4% 3% 1% <1%
Colorado
(2‑3)

vs
Utah
(5‑0)
3 Colorado Wins 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Utah Wins 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 8% 7% 7% 6% 4% 3% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Arizona St.
(3‑2)

vs
Texas Tech
(5‑0)
3 Arizona St. Wins 12% 11% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Texas Tech Wins 11% 10% 11% 10% 10% 10% 8% 8% 7% 5% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1%
Houston
(5‑1)

vs
Oklahoma St.
(4‑1)
2 Houston Wins 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Oklahoma St. Wins 10% 10% 10% 11% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1%
West Virginia
(3‑3)

vs
Cincinnati
(4‑1)
2 West Virginia Wins 11% 10% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Cincinnati Wins 10% 10% 10% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1%
Kansas
(2‑3)

vs
Kansas St.
(3‑2)
1 Kansas Wins 10% 11% 11% 11% 9% 10% 8% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Kansas St. Wins 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 4% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant