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Sat Sep 26 11:30 pm

Big 12 Football - Week 5 of 13

BYU Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the BYU Cougars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cougars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. BYU Cougars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

BYU Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
BYU Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
BYU
(3‑0)

vs
TCU
(2‑2)
16 BYU Wins 18% 14% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 16% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
TCU Wins 7% 9% 9% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1%
Colorado
(2‑2)

vs
Texas Tech
(4‑0)
2 Colorado Wins 17% 13% 10% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 2% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 16% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Texas Tech Wins 15% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1%
Iowa St.
(2‑2)

vs
West Virginia
(3‑1)
1 Iowa St. Wins 17% 12% 11% 9% 8% 8% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 16% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
West Virginia Wins 16% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Baylor
(3‑1)

vs
Arizona St.
(2‑1)
1 Baylor Wins 17% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 16% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Arizona St. Wins 16% 12% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
UCF
(3‑1)

vs
Houston
(3‑1)
1 UCF Wins 17% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 16% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Houston Wins 16% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Arizona
(3‑1)

vs
Cincinnati
(4‑0)
0 Arizona Wins 17% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 16% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Cincinnati Wins 16% 13% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant