The Most Important Games for the BYU Cougars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cougars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. BYU Cougars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
BYU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| BYU (7‑2) vs Baylor (6‑3) |
22 | BYU Wins | 2% | 20% | 30% | 24% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 14% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Baylor Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 21% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Colorado (3‑6) vs Houston (7‑2) |
12 | Colorado Wins | 2% | 24% | 27% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 14% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Houston Wins | 2% | 12% | 22% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma St. (6‑3) vs Texas Tech (8‑1) |
9 | Oklahoma St. Wins | 2% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 14% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | 1% | 12% | 23% | 24% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Kansas (3‑6) vs West Virginia (5‑4) |
2 | Kansas Wins | 2% | 16% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 14% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| West Virginia Wins | 2% | 14% | 23% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iowa St. (4‑5) vs Cincinnati (5‑4) |
1 | Iowa St. Wins | 1% | 15% | 23% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 14% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Cincinnati Wins | 2% | 14% | 23% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Arizona (7‑2) vs Utah (9‑0) |
1 | Arizona Wins | 3% | 13% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 14% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Utah Wins | <1% | 16% | 27% | 25% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| TCU (4‑5) vs Kansas St. (4‑5) |
1 | TCU Wins | 2% | 14% | 24% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 14% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Kansas St. Wins | 1% | 14% | 23% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UCF (5‑4) vs Arizona St. (5‑4) |
0 | UCF Wins | 2% | 14% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 14% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Arizona St. Wins | 1% | 14% | 24% | 24% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||