The Most Important Games for the Cincinnati Bearcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bearcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cincinnati Bearcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cincinnati Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Colorado (3‑6) vs Houston (7‑2) |
0 | Colorado Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Houston Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Arizona (7‑2) vs Utah (9‑0) |
0 | Arizona Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Utah Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| BYU (7‑2) vs Baylor (6‑3) |
0 | BYU Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 14% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Baylor Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Cincinnati (5‑4) vs Iowa St. (4‑5) |
0 | Cincinnati Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Iowa St. Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 22% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 1% | ||
| Oklahoma St. (6‑3) vs Texas Tech (8‑1) |
0 | Oklahoma St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 3% | 1% | ||
| TCU (4‑5) vs Kansas St. (4‑5) |
0 | TCU Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 8% | 10% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Kansas St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| UCF (5‑4) vs Arizona St. (5‑4) |
0 | UCF Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Arizona St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 3% | 1% | ||
| West Virginia (5‑4) vs Kansas (3‑6) |
0 | West Virginia Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 15% | 10% | 9% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Kansas Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 1% | ||