Big 12 Football - Week 13 of 14

Oklahoma St. What If?

The Oklahoma St. Cowboys What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Oklahoma St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Oklahoma St. What If?

Next Game - UCF (4‑6)

	Resultant Record		Regular Season Finish
	W	L	1^* Conference Championship Game Participant	2^* Conference Championship Game Participant	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Next Game	1	7	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	3%	18%	59%	20%
Current Standings	0	7	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	1%	5%	18%	76%
Lose Next Game	0	8	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	3%	97%

Best/Worst Case Scenarios

	Regular Season Finish
	1^* Conference Championship Game Participant	2^* Conference Championship Game Participant	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Current Standings	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	1%	5%	18%	76%
Best Case Scenario None									Worst Case Scenario None

Notes
Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three

Remaining Games

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record		Regular Season Finish
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	W	L	1^* Conference Championship Game Participant	2^* Conference Championship Game Participant	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
2 of 2	100%	2	7	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	15%	41%	43%	<1%
1 of 2	50%	1	8	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	6%	43%	51%
0 of 2	0%	0	9	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
Table Sorting Method
* denotes Conference Championship Game Participant