The Most Important Games for the TCU Horned Frogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Horned Frogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. TCU Horned Frogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
TCU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Arizona (4‑1) vs West Virginia (3‑2) |
0 | Arizona Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 23% | ||
| West Virginia Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 25% | ||
| Oklahoma St. (3‑1) vs UCF (3‑2) |
0 | Oklahoma St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 23% | ||
| UCF Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 23% | ||
| Kansas St. (3‑1) vs Houston (4‑1) |
0 | Kansas St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 23% | ||
| Houston Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 24% | ||
| Utah (4‑0) vs Kansas (2‑2) |
0 | Utah Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 23% | ||
| Kansas Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 16% | 25% | ||
| Iowa St. (3‑2) vs BYU (4‑0) |
0 | Iowa St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 23% | ||
| BYU Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 23% | ||