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Sun Oct 25 11:00 am

Big 12 Football - Week 9 of 13

Texas Tech Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Texas Tech Red Raiders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Raiders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Texas Tech Red Raiders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Texas Tech Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Texas Tech Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Texas Tech
(6‑1)

vs
Arizona
(6‑1)
34 Texas Tech Wins 19% 25% 16% 13% 10% 6% 4% 3% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities 12% 19% 14% 13% 11% 9% 7% 6% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Arizona Wins 1% 9% 14% 14% 14% 13% 11% 8% 5% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Arizona St.
(4‑3)

vs
BYU
(6‑1)
8 Arizona St. Wins 18% 19% 13% 11% 9% 8% 6% 5% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 19% 14% 13% 11% 9% 7% 6% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
BYU Wins 11% 18% 14% 13% 12% 9% 8% 6% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Cincinnati
(5‑2)

vs
Utah
(7‑0)
6 Cincinnati Wins 17% 17% 13% 11% 11% 9% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 19% 14% 13% 11% 9% 7% 6% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Utah Wins 9% 19% 16% 13% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Baylor
(4‑3)

vs
UCF
(4‑3)
2 Baylor Wins 13% 19% 15% 13% 11% 9% 6% 5% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 19% 14% 13% 11% 9% 7% 6% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
UCF Wins 12% 19% 13% 12% 11% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Iowa St.
(3‑4)

vs
Oklahoma St.
(5‑2)
1 Iowa St. Wins 12% 20% 14% 13% 10% 8% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 19% 14% 13% 11% 9% 7% 6% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Oklahoma St. Wins 12% 18% 14% 13% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
TCU
(3‑4)

vs
Kansas
(3‑4)
1 TCU Wins 14% 18% 14% 12% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 19% 14% 13% 11% 9% 7% 6% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Kansas Wins 12% 19% 14% 13% 11% 9% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Colorado
(2‑5)

vs
Kansas St.
(4‑3)
0 Colorado Wins 13% 18% 14% 13% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 19% 14% 13% 11% 9% 7% 6% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Kansas St. Wins 12% 18% 15% 12% 11% 8% 7% 6% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant