The Most Important Games for the Idaho Vandals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Vandals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Idaho Vandals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Idaho Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Idaho (7‑4) vs Eastern Washington (2‑10) |
8 | Idaho Wins | 20% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Eastern Washington Wins | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Portland St. (6‑5) vs Weber St. (5‑7) |
1 | Portland St. Wins | 19% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Weber St. Wins | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Sacramento St. (4‑7) vs Idaho St. (7‑5) |
0 | Sacramento St. Wins | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Idaho St. Wins | 19% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Northern Arizona (5‑7) vs Montana (6‑7) |
0 | Northern Arizona Wins | 20% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Montana Wins | 20% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Montana St. (5‑7) vs Northern Colorado (9‑3) |
0 | Montana St. Wins | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Northern Colorado Wins | 19% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||