The Most Important Games for the Idaho Vandals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Vandals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Idaho Vandals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Idaho Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Idaho (10‑7) vs Weber St. (10‑8) |
13 | Idaho Wins | 9% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Weber St. Wins | 3% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Eastern Washington (3‑14) vs Idaho St. (10‑8) |
1 | Eastern Washington Wins | 7% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Idaho St. Wins | 6% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Montana (9‑8) vs Montana St. (9‑8) |
1 | Montana Wins | 7% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Montana St. Wins | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Northern Colorado (11‑7) vs Sacramento St. (5‑11) |
1 | Northern Colorado Wins | 6% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Sacramento St. Wins | 6% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Portland St. (10‑5) vs Northern Arizona (6‑12) |
0 | Portland St. Wins | 6% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Northern Arizona Wins | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||