The Most Important Games for the Idaho Vandals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Vandals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Idaho Vandals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Idaho Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Idaho (2‑3) vs Montana St. (1‑4) |
8 | Idaho Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Montana St. Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Portland St. (2‑1) vs Sacramento St. (1‑3) |
2 | Portland St. Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Sacramento St. Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Weber St. (1‑3) vs Northern Colorado (4‑2) |
1 | Weber St. Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Northern Colorado Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Montana (2‑3) vs Eastern Washington (1‑4) |
0 | Montana Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Eastern Washington Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Idaho St. (2‑4) vs Northern Arizona (4‑1) |
0 | Idaho St. Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Northern Arizona Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||