The Most Important Games for the Idaho Vandals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Vandals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Idaho Vandals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Idaho Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Idaho (13‑10) vs Montana (13‑11) |
12 | Idaho Wins | 1% | 11% | 29% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 19% | 26% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Montana Wins | <1% | 2% | 10% | 29% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Montana St. (14‑10) vs Eastern Washington (6‑17) |
2 | Montana St. Wins | 1% | 6% | 19% | 27% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 19% | 26% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Eastern Washington Wins | 1% | 9% | 19% | 23% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Northern Arizona (9‑15) vs Weber St. (11‑13) |
2 | Northern Arizona Wins | 1% | 7% | 20% | 27% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 19% | 26% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Weber St. Wins | 1% | 7% | 19% | 25% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Portland St. (15‑6) vs Sacramento St. (9‑13) |
2 | Portland St. Wins | <1% | 7% | 20% | 28% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 19% | 26% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Sacramento St. Wins | 1% | 7% | 18% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Northern Colorado (14‑10) vs Idaho St. (10‑14) |
0 | Northern Colorado Wins | 1% | 7% | 19% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 7% | 19% | 26% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Idaho St. Wins | 1% | 7% | 20% | 28% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||