The Most Important Games for the Idaho Vandals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Vandals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Idaho Vandals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Idaho Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Idaho (12‑15) vs Northern Colorado (20‑8) |
16 | Idaho Wins | X | X | 11% | 31% | 31% | 20% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 5% | 21% | 29% | 26% | 16% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Northern Colorado Wins | X | X | 2% | 18% | 29% | 28% | 18% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Montana (19‑8) vs Montana St. (12‑15) |
3 | Montana Wins | X | X | 5% | 22% | 32% | 23% | 15% | 3% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 5% | 21% | 29% | 26% | 16% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Montana St. Wins | X | X | 4% | 19% | 23% | 33% | 18% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Portland St. (16‑11) vs Weber St. (9‑19) |
1 | Portland St. Wins | X | X | 2% | 23% | 30% | 26% | 16% | 3% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 5% | 21% | 29% | 26% | 16% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Weber St. Wins | X | X | 9% | 18% | 27% | 26% | 16% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Northern Arizona (15‑13) vs Eastern Washington (10‑17) |
1 | Northern Arizona Wins | X | X | 5% | 21% | 29% | 26% | 15% | 3% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 5% | 21% | 29% | 26% | 16% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Eastern Washington Wins | X | X | 5% | 21% | 29% | 27% | 16% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Sacramento St. (7‑20) vs Idaho St. (12‑13) |
1 | Sacramento St. Wins | X | X | 6% | 29% | 25% | 22% | 15% | 3% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 5% | 21% | 29% | 26% | 16% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Idaho St. Wins | X | X | 5% | 18% | 31% | 27% | 17% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ||