The Most Important Games for the Idaho Vandals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Vandals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Idaho Vandals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Idaho Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Idaho (7‑10) vs Eastern Washington (6‑11) |
15 | Idaho Wins | 2% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Eastern Washington Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Montana (10‑7) vs Weber St. (7‑10) |
2 | Montana Wins | 1% | 5% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Weber St. Wins | 2% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Sacramento St. (5‑11) vs Northern Arizona (10‑7) |
1 | Sacramento St. Wins | 2% | 5% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Northern Arizona Wins | 2% | 5% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Northern Colorado (12‑5) vs Portland St. (10‑6) |
1 | Northern Colorado Wins | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Portland St. Wins | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Idaho St. (6‑8) vs Montana St. (6‑11) |
0 | Idaho St. Wins | 2% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Montana St. Wins | 2% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 6% | ||