The Most Important Games for the Idaho Vandals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Vandals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Idaho Vandals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Idaho Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Idaho (15‑13) vs Northern Arizona (10‑18) |
27 | Idaho Wins | X | 1% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 16% | 61% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 13% | 67% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Northern Arizona Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 84% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Sacramento St. (9‑18) vs Montana (14‑14) |
14 | Sacramento St. Wins | X | 1% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 18% | 58% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 13% | 67% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Montana Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 72% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Eastern Washington (11‑17) vs Northern Colorado (18‑10) |
4 | Eastern Washington Wins | X | 1% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 17% | 65% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 13% | 67% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Northern Colorado Wins | X | <1% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 69% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Portland St. (18‑8) vs Montana St. (15‑13) |
1 | Portland St. Wins | X | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 13% | 67% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 13% | 67% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Montana St. Wins | X | <1% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 14% | 68% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Idaho St. (12‑17) vs Weber St. (15‑14) |
0 | Idaho St. Wins | X | 1% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 66% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 13% | 67% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Weber St. Wins | X | <1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 15% | 67% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||