The Most Important Games for the Montana Grizzlies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Grizzlies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Montana Grizzlies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Montana Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Montana (13‑11) vs Idaho (13‑10) |
6 | Montana Wins | 6% | 26% | 42% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 20% | 33% | 20% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Idaho Wins | 2% | 14% | 27% | 25% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Montana St. (14‑10) vs Eastern Washington (6‑17) |
1 | Montana St. Wins | 4% | 19% | 35% | 20% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 20% | 33% | 20% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Eastern Washington Wins | 5% | 25% | 27% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Northern Arizona (9‑15) vs Weber St. (11‑13) |
1 | Northern Arizona Wins | 5% | 20% | 34% | 21% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 20% | 33% | 20% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Weber St. Wins | 4% | 20% | 33% | 20% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Portland St. (15‑6) vs Sacramento St. (9‑13) |
1 | Portland St. Wins | 3% | 21% | 36% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 20% | 33% | 20% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sacramento St. Wins | 6% | 19% | 29% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Idaho St. (10‑14) vs Northern Colorado (14‑10) |
1 | Idaho St. Wins | 4% | 20% | 34% | 20% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 20% | 33% | 20% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Northern Colorado Wins | 4% | 20% | 33% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||